Davis21wylie's Week 15/16 NFL Bonanza!
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by user Davis21wylie
Ah, can you feel it? Christmas is just a few days away, and I don't know about you, but I'm excited! The mistletoe, the eggnog... and the fact that these final few weeks of the NFL season are shaping up to be one of the most thrilling finishes ever (18 teams are in the playoff hunt) -- it's the National Football League's very own gift to you! Thank God football lives and lives forever! My gift for you, loyal readers, is much humbler, of course. As you all know, I haven't been able to do player rankings since Week 9 because of school. Finally, though, your patience with me has been rewarded, as I come bearing a Leonard Davis-sized NFL article, designed to bring a merry Christmas to readers young and old. Yes, Virginia, there is a LaDainian Tomlinson!!
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Leading off are the player rankings. Since I last crunched these numbers, many changes have taken place across the NFL. Regrettably, Donovan McNabb, who had been bringing joy to the hearts of Eagles fans everywhere (and anyone who enjoys seeing a great QB take care of his business, for that matter), went down with an ACL injury, bringing his fantastic year to a premature finish. But even in his absence, the league is not lacking for great performances... The greatest of them all has been Tomlinson, whose record-breaking forays into the end zone have vaulted him into first place in the player rankings. In fact, at 103.16 PAR through 14 games, LT is on pace to break the all-time record for most PAR by a running back under my system -- formerly held by Barry Sanders, who threw down 112.99 PAR in 1997. Tomlinson will probably not play in Week 17 if San Diego clinches home-field this week, but if he does end up playing all 16 games, he will almost certainly set a new benchmark for PAR greatness. Other outstanding ballcarriers this year have been San Francisco's Frank Gore, who checks in at second among RB's, and the always-terrific Larry Johnson of Kansas City. Philly's Brian Westbrook was snubbed for the Pro Bowl this year, as he ranks ahead of both Tiki Barber and Steven Jackson in PAR, and by a pretty sizable margin.
While running backs generally dominate the Top 15 in PAR, Tomlinson and Gore are the only ones in the Top 8, meaning that quarterbacks have been particularly good at pulling their weight this year. As usual, the leader of them all is Peyton Manning, who has been absolutely masterful again in 2006 (he's on pace for his second-best season ever, behind only his crazy 2004). Trailing him is Drew Brees, a guy who has reinvigorated the Saints by passing for obscene yardage totals week in and week out (his 1838 TAY is eclipsed only by Tomlinson and Johnson). Surpringly, Michael Vick is also among the QB leaders in PAR, but it makes sense: he's coupling great rushing numbers (he'll post the first 2,000-1,000 season ever) with decent, turnover-free passing to produce .514 Pts/Play. Pro Bowler Marc Bulger still ranks behind McNabb, thanks to some uninspired play since the last time I released the rankings, but he remains a deserving pick for Honolulu. Similarly, Dallas' Tony Romo hasn't played enough for a gaudy PAR, but his .477 Pts/Play is certainly up there with the league's elite QB's, making his selection justifiable.
Among receivers, there are a number of players that still have time to grab the PAR crown. Cincinnati's Chad Johnson leads the way with 47.7 PAR (remember, WR's typically have lower PAR's than QB's and RB's because they touch the ball less), but Denver's dynamic Javon Walker is right on his heels. Colts teammates Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison are each less than 4 PAR off the lead as well, and Donald Driver and Steve Smith are not far behind. These six recievers (all of whom but Walker are going to Honolulu) have shown all season what it takes to be a superstar NFL wideout, and they might be the best single-season crop of pass-catchers ever (although none have a shot at Jerry Rice's all-time single-season PAR record of 66.45).
Week 15's MVP: Tomlinson, who continued his assault on the record books with 204 total yards and 2 TD against KC.
Week 15's Least Valuable Player: Nobody, because I'm too immersed in the Christmas spirit to hand out such a lump of coal.
Player Rankings (sorted by PAR):
Name Team G Plays TAY Net Pts Pts/Ply PAR PAR/G WARP ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- L. Tomlinson SDG 14 338.0 2183.0 181.92 0.538 103.16 7.37 2.58 Peyton Manning IND 14 267.5 1781.0 148.42 0.555 86.09 6.15 2.15 Drew Brees NOR 14 294.5 1838.0 153.17 0.520 84.55 6.04 2.11 Michael Vick ATL 14 293.0 1807.0 150.58 0.514 82.31 5.88 2.06 Frank Gore SFO 14 296.5 1765.0 147.08 0.496 78.00 5.57 1.95 Donovan McNabb PHI 10 190.0 1415.5 117.96 0.621 73.69 7.37 1.84 Marc Bulger STL 14 276.0 1624.5 135.38 0.490 71.07 5.08 1.78 Carson Palmer CIN 14 243.0 1501.5 125.13 0.515 68.51 4.89 1.71 Larry Johnson KAN 14 370.0 1850.0 154.17 0.417 67.96 4.85 1.70 B. Westbrook PHI 13 250.0 1514.0 126.17 0.505 67.92 5.22 1.70 Steven Jackson STL 14 329.0 1671.0 139.25 0.423 62.59 4.47 1.56 Willie Parker PIT 14 301.5 1561.5 130.13 0.432 59.88 4.28 1.50 Tiki Barber NYG 14 314.0 1591.5 132.63 0.422 59.46 4.25 1.49 M. Jones-Drew JAC 14 153.0 1063.5 88.63 0.579 52.98 3.78 1.32 Fred Taylor JAC 14 235.0 1278.0 106.50 0.453 51.75 3.70 1.29 Philip Rivers SDG 14 246.0 1299.0 108.25 0.440 50.93 3.64 1.27 Damon Huard KAN 9 129.5 936.0 78.00 0.602 47.83 5.31 1.20 Chad Johnson CIN 14 46.0 701.0 58.42 1.270 47.70 3.41 1.19 Javon Walker DEN 14 37.0 668.5 55.71 1.506 47.09 3.36 1.18 Joseph Addai IND 14 206.5 1136.0 94.67 0.458 46.55 3.33 1.16 Reggie Wayne IND 14 38.5 651.5 54.29 1.410 45.32 3.24 1.13 Ladell Betts WAS 14 218.5 1132.0 94.33 0.432 43.42 3.10 1.09 M. Harrison IND 14 41.0 635.0 52.92 1.291 43.36 3.10 1.08 Donald Driver GNB 14 46.0 643.5 53.63 1.166 42.91 3.06 1.07 Steve Smith CAR 12 44.0 625.5 52.13 1.185 41.87 3.49 1.05 Marion Barber DAL 14 131.0 862.5 71.88 0.549 41.35 2.95 1.03 Chester Taylor MIN 13 295.0 1319.0 109.92 0.373 41.18 3.17 1.03 J.P. Losman BUF 14 217.5 1099.0 91.58 0.421 40.91 2.92 1.02 Tom Brady NWE 14 264.5 1229.5 102.46 0.387 40.83 2.92 1.02 D. McAllister NOR 14 231.0 1131.0 94.25 0.408 40.43 2.89 1.01 Tony Romo DAL 14 165.0 944.0 78.67 0.477 40.22 2.87 1.01 Roy Williams DET 14 37.0 585.5 48.79 1.319 40.17 2.87 1.00 Lee Evans BUF 14 35.0 571.5 47.63 1.361 39.47 2.82 0.99 Ahman Green GNB 12 245.0 1154.5 96.21 0.393 39.12 3.26 0.98 Terrell Owens DAL 14 38.5 575.0 47.92 1.245 38.95 2.78 0.97 Torry Holt STL 14 40.0 572.0 47.67 1.192 38.35 2.74 0.96 L. Coles NYJ 14 45.5 576.5 48.04 1.056 37.44 2.67 0.94 Steve McNair BAL 14 239.0 1113.0 92.75 0.388 37.06 2.65 0.93 M. Colston NOR 12 33.0 535.5 44.63 1.352 36.94 3.08 0.92 D. Jackson SEA 13 31.5 528.0 44.00 1.397 36.66 2.82 0.92 Andre Johnson HOU 14 51.5 582.5 48.54 0.943 36.54 2.61 0.91 Rudi Johnson CIN 14 308.0 1298.0 108.17 0.351 36.40 2.60 0.91 Thomas Jones CHI 14 292.0 1252.5 104.38 0.357 36.34 2.60 0.91 Anquan Boldin ARI 14 40.5 543.5 45.29 1.118 35.86 2.56 0.90 Kevin Jones DET 12 211.5 1019.0 84.92 0.401 35.64 2.97 0.89 Julius Jones DAL 14 251.0 1125.0 93.75 0.374 35.27 2.52 0.88 Warrick Dunn ATL 14 267.0 1165.0 97.08 0.364 34.87 2.49 0.87 Travis Henry TEN 12 224.0 1044.0 87.00 0.388 34.81 2.90 0.87 P. Burress NYG 13 30.0 498.5 41.54 1.385 34.55 2.66 0.86 Joey Galloway TAM 14 28.0 491.5 40.96 1.463 34.43 2.46 0.86 Mark Brunell WAS 9 142.0 802.5 66.88 0.471 33.79 3.75 0.84 Terry Glenn DAL 13 34.5 501.5 41.79 1.211 33.75 2.60 0.84 Jon Kitna DET 14 282.5 1191.5 99.29 0.351 33.47 2.39 0.84 Houshmandzadeh CIN 12 41.5 517.5 43.13 1.039 33.46 2.79 0.84 Reggie Brown PHI 14 24.5 468.5 39.04 1.594 33.33 2.38 0.83 Brett Favre GNB 14 282.5 1182.5 98.54 0.349 32.72 2.34 0.82 Vince Young TEN 13 223.5 1016.5 84.71 0.379 32.63 2.51 0.82 David Carr HOU 14 248.0 1076.0 89.67 0.362 31.88 2.28 0.80 Tatum Bell DEN 11 219.5 991.0 82.58 0.376 31.44 2.86 0.79 B. Edwards CLE 14 27.5 445.5 37.13 1.350 30.72 2.19 0.77 J. Cotchery NYJ 14 38.5 475.0 39.58 1.028 30.61 2.19 0.77 Hines Ward PIT 12 30.5 452.5 37.71 1.236 30.60 2.55 0.77 Isaac Bruce STL 14 30.5 452.0 37.67 1.235 30.56 2.18 0.76 Santana Moss WAS 12 30.0 436.0 36.33 1.211 29.34 2.45 0.73 Ronnie Brown MIA 11 217.0 958.5 79.88 0.368 29.31 2.66 0.73 Antonio Gates SDG 14 32.5 442.5 36.88 1.135 29.30 2.09 0.73 Mike Furrey DET 14 38.5 458.5 38.21 0.992 29.24 2.09 0.73 Corey Dillon NWE 14 183.5 859.0 71.58 0.390 28.83 2.06 0.72 L. Fitzgerald ARI 11 30.5 430.0 35.83 1.175 28.73 2.61 0.72 Jake Delhomme CAR 12 217.0 949.0 79.08 0.364 28.52 2.38 0.71 Mark Clayton BAL 14 29.0 422.5 35.21 1.214 28.45 2.03 0.71 Tony Gonzalez KAN 13 33.0 431.0 35.92 1.088 28.23 2.17 0.71 D. Henderson NOR 11 17.0 386.0 32.17 1.892 28.21 2.56 0.71 Willis McGahee BUF 12 234.0 990.0 82.50 0.353 27.98 2.33 0.70 J. Norwood ATL 12 84.5 570.0 47.50 0.562 27.81 2.32 0.70 M. Muhammad CHI 14 28.0 411.0 34.25 1.223 27.73 1.98 0.69 Jamal Lewis BAL 14 277.5 1107.0 92.25 0.332 27.59 1.97 0.69 Antonio Bryant SFO 14 20.0 381.5 31.79 1.590 27.13 1.94 0.68 C. Pennington NYJ 14 241.0 997.0 83.08 0.345 26.93 1.92 0.67 Chris Chambers MIA 14 34.5 419.0 34.92 1.012 26.88 1.92 0.67 Marty Booker MIA 13 28.5 399.5 33.29 1.168 26.65 2.05 0.67 B. Berrian CHI 13 24.5 387.5 32.29 1.318 26.58 2.04 0.66 D. Stallworth PHI 10 17.5 362.0 30.17 1.724 26.09 2.61 0.65 Eddie Kennison KAN 14 26.0 381.0 31.75 1.221 25.69 1.84 0.64 Alge Crumpler ATL 14 23.5 373.5 31.13 1.324 25.65 1.83 0.64 Joe Horn NOR 10 19.0 359.5 29.96 1.577 25.53 2.55 0.64 L. Maroney NWE 12 164.0 763.0 63.58 0.388 25.37 2.11 0.63 Clinton Portis WAS 8 135.5 678.0 56.50 0.417 24.93 3.12 0.62 Brandon Jacobs NYG 14 95.5 562.5 46.88 0.491 24.62 1.76 0.62 Reggie Bush NOR 14 174.5 782.0 65.17 0.373 24.51 1.75 0.61 Jeff Garcia PHI 6 99.0 570.0 47.50 0.480 24.43 4.07 0.61 Deion Branch SEA 12 26.5 363.0 30.25 1.142 24.08 2.01 0.60 Drew Bennett TEN 14 21.0 346.0 28.83 1.373 23.94 1.71 0.60 Kellen Winslow CLE 14 38.0 392.5 32.71 0.861 23.85 1.70 0.60 L. Washington NYJ 14 139.5 673.5 56.13 0.402 23.62 1.69 0.59 K. Johnson CAR 14 34.5 379.0 31.58 0.915 23.54 1.68 0.59 Mike Bell DEN 13 138.0 667.5 55.63 0.403 23.47 1.81 0.59 Alex Smith SFO 14 231.5 927.0 77.25 0.334 23.31 1.67 0.58 Derrick Mason BAL 14 30.5 365.0 30.42 0.997 23.31 1.67 0.58 Edgerrin James ARI 14 310.5 1145.0 95.42 0.307 23.07 1.65 0.58 Bryant Johnson ARI 14 17.5 322.5 26.88 1.536 22.80 1.63 0.57 K. Washington PIT 14 19.5 325.0 27.08 1.389 22.54 1.61 0.56 Eli Manning NYG 14 256.5 987.5 82.29 0.321 22.53 1.61 0.56 Greg Jennings GNB 13 22.0 330.0 27.50 1.250 22.37 1.72 0.56 Todd Heap BAL 14 32.0 357.5 29.79 0.931 22.34 1.60 0.56 Ben Watson NWE 13 24.5 336.5 28.04 1.145 22.33 1.72 0.56 Desmond Clark CHI 14 21.0 325.0 27.08 1.290 22.19 1.59 0.55 Chris Cooley WAS 14 22.5 329.0 27.42 1.219 22.17 1.58 0.55 DeShaun Foster CAR 12 194.0 807.0 67.25 0.347 22.05 1.84 0.55 S. Holmes PIT 14 21.0 323.0 26.92 1.282 22.02 1.57 0.55 D. Williams CAR 11 104.0 555.0 46.25 0.445 22.02 2.00 0.55 Matt Leinart ARI 11 204.0 831.5 69.29 0.340 21.76 1.98 0.54 Jeremy Shockey NYG 14 32.0 348.0 29.00 0.906 21.54 1.54 0.54 Michael Turner SDG 11 65.0 435.0 36.25 0.558 21.11 1.92 0.53 Eric Parker SDG 14 23.5 317.5 26.46 1.126 20.98 1.50 0.52 Roethlisberger PIT 13 230.5 895.0 74.58 0.324 20.88 1.61 0.52 Jason Witten DAL 14 27.0 326.0 27.17 1.006 20.88 1.49 0.52 Rex Grossman CHI 14 238.0 914.5 76.21 0.320 20.75 1.48 0.52 Reche Caldwell NWE 14 26.5 320.5 26.71 1.008 20.53 1.47 0.51 Arnaz Battle SFO 14 28.5 323.5 26.96 0.946 20.32 1.45 0.51 Wes Welker MIA 14 31.5 331.5 27.63 0.877 20.29 1.45 0.51 David Garrard JAC 9 144.0 644.0 53.67 0.373 20.11 2.23 0.50 C. Williams TAM 14 240.0 906.0 75.50 0.315 19.58 1.40 0.49 Travis Taylor MIN 14 26.5 309.0 25.75 0.972 19.58 1.40 0.49 Randy Moss OAK 13 21.0 291.5 24.29 1.157 19.40 1.49 0.48 R. Williams JAC 14 29.0 311.5 25.96 0.895 19.20 1.37 0.48 L.J. Smith PHI 14 24.0 292.0 24.33 1.014 18.74 1.34 0.47 Wali Lundy HOU 12 139.0 611.0 50.92 0.366 18.53 1.54 0.46 Chris Henry CIN 11 14.5 260.5 21.71 1.497 18.33 1.67 0.46 M. Hasselbeck SEA 10 166.5 684.5 57.04 0.343 18.25 1.82 0.46 D.J. Hackett SEA 12 19.0 270.0 22.50 1.184 18.07 1.51 0.45 Mewelde Moore MIN 14 44.0 339.0 28.25 0.642 18.00 1.29 0.45 Dominic Rhodes IND 14 193.5 756.5 63.04 0.326 17.96 1.28 0.45 V. Morency GNB 12 91.0 469.0 39.08 0.429 17.88 1.49 0.45 Brad Johnson MIN 14 248.0 906.0 75.50 0.304 17.72 1.27 0.44 P. Crayton DAL 14 16.0 253.5 21.13 1.320 17.40 1.24 0.43 Cedrick Wilson PIT 13 18.5 259.0 21.58 1.167 17.27 1.33 0.43 Matt Jones JAC 12 16.0 250.0 20.83 1.302 17.11 1.43 0.43 Eric Moulds HOU 14 28.5 284.0 23.67 0.830 17.03 1.22 0.43 C. Buckhalter PHI 14 85.5 442.5 36.88 0.431 16.95 1.21 0.42 R. McMichael MIA 14 26.5 274.5 22.88 0.863 16.70 1.19 0.42 Samie Parker KAN 14 18.0 247.0 20.58 1.144 16.39 1.17 0.41 Ernest Wilford JAC 14 16.0 236.0 19.67 1.229 15.94 1.14 0.40 A. Randle El WAS 14 32.5 281.0 23.42 0.721 15.84 1.13 0.40 M. Jenkins ATL 14 18.0 239.0 19.92 1.106 15.72 1.12 0.39 Cedric Benson CHI 13 129.0 549.0 45.75 0.355 15.69 1.21 0.39 Sammy Morris MIA 10 92.5 446.5 37.21 0.402 15.66 1.57 0.39 Kevin Faulk NWE 14 43.5 307.0 25.58 0.588 15.45 1.10 0.39 Ronald Curry OAK 14 24.0 252.0 21.00 0.875 15.41 1.10 0.39 Joe Jurevicius CLE 12 18.0 233.5 19.46 1.081 15.26 1.27 0.38 T. Williamson MIN 13 18.0 227.0 18.92 1.051 14.72 1.13 0.37 Rod Smith DEN 14 23.0 239.0 19.92 0.866 14.56 1.04 0.36 Bo Scaife TEN 13 15.5 218.0 18.17 1.172 14.56 1.12 0.36 M. Robinson MIN 9 14.5 210.5 17.54 1.210 14.16 1.57 0.35 D. Culpepper MIA 4 77.0 384.5 32.04 0.416 14.10 3.53 0.35 Bobby Wade TEN 14 14.0 208.0 17.33 1.238 14.07 1.01 0.35 Kevin Curtis STL 14 21.5 228.0 19.00 0.884 13.99 1.00 0.35 Heath Miller PIT 14 15.5 210.5 17.54 1.132 13.93 1.00 0.35 Roddy White ATL 14 12.5 202.0 16.83 1.347 13.92 0.99 0.35 Drew Carter CAR 14 16.0 211.5 17.63 1.102 13.90 0.99 0.35 Ashley Lelie ATL 14 12.5 200.0 16.67 1.333 13.75 0.98 0.34 S. Alexander SEA 8 193.0 704.0 58.67 0.304 13.70 1.71 0.34 R. Droughns CLE 12 194.0 706.5 58.88 0.303 13.67 1.14 0.34 M. Clayton TAM 12 21.5 224.0 18.67 0.868 13.66 1.14 0.34 T. Copper NOR 14 11.5 192.5 16.04 1.395 13.36 0.95 0.33 Charlie Batch PIT 7 33.5 254.0 21.17 0.632 13.36 1.91 0.33 LaMont Jordan OAK 9 119.0 491.0 40.92 0.344 13.19 1.47 0.33 Jake Plummer DEN 14 191.5 692.0 57.67 0.301 13.05 0.93 0.33 Ron Dayne HOU 9 119.0 489.0 40.75 0.342 13.02 1.45 0.33 Owen Daniels HOU 14 17.0 201.0 16.75 0.985 12.79 0.91 0.32 V. Jackson SDG 14 9.5 179.0 14.92 1.570 12.70 0.91 0.32 K. McCardell SDG 12 16.0 197.0 16.42 1.026 12.69 1.06 0.32 Doug Gabriel NWE 12 12.5 187.0 15.58 1.247 12.67 1.06 0.32 Brandon Lloyd WAS 14 11.5 182.5 15.21 1.322 12.53 0.89 0.31 Amani Toomer NYG 8 16.0 195.0 16.25 1.016 12.52 1.57 0.31 Byron Leftwich JAC 6 116.5 475.5 39.63 0.340 12.48 2.08 0.31 D. Williams BAL 14 9.0 173.0 14.42 1.602 12.32 0.88 0.31 Maurice Morris SEA 14 150.0 562.0 46.83 0.312 11.88 0.85 0.30 M. Pittman TAM 14 42.0 260.0 21.67 0.516 11.88 0.85 0.30 Troy Brown NWE 14 20.0 196.5 16.38 0.819 11.72 0.84 0.29 Dallas Clark IND 11 13.0 175.5 14.63 1.125 11.60 1.05 0.29 Kenny Watson CIN 14 32.0 225.0 18.75 0.586 11.29 0.81 0.28 Josh Reed BUF 11 16.0 180.0 15.00 0.938 11.27 1.02 0.28 Charlie Frye CLE 13 221.0 752.5 62.71 0.284 11.22 0.86 0.28 Roscoe Parrish BUF 14 10.5 163.0 13.58 1.294 11.14 0.80 0.28 Anthony Thomas BUF 14 116.0 457.5 38.13 0.329 11.10 0.79 0.28 Noah Herron GNB 14 50.0 272.5 22.71 0.454 11.06 0.79 0.28 Ben Utecht IND 13 17.5 181.5 15.13 0.864 11.05 0.85 0.28 J. Wiggins MIN 14 22.0 193.5 16.13 0.733 11.00 0.79 0.27 J. Griffith ATL 14 30.0 215.5 17.96 0.599 10.97 0.78 0.27 Justin Fargas OAK 14 146.0 537.5 44.79 0.307 10.77 0.77 0.27 N. Davenport PIT 11 63.5 304.5 25.38 0.400 10.58 0.96 0.26 Dan Campbell DET 14 9.5 153.5 12.79 1.346 10.58 0.76 0.26 Bryan Gilmore SFO 14 9.5 147.0 12.25 1.289 10.04 0.72 0.25 M. Bennett KAN 10 38.5 227.5 18.96 0.492 9.99 1.00 0.25 J. McCareins NYJ 14 8.0 141.5 11.79 1.474 9.93 0.71 0.25 Greg Lewis PHI 14 9.0 143.5 11.96 1.329 9.86 0.70 0.25 Peerless Price BUF 14 24.0 185.0 15.42 0.642 9.82 0.70 0.25 G. Wrighster JAC 14 17.5 165.0 13.75 0.786 9.67 0.69 0.24 S. Wallace SEA 7 82.5 345.5 28.79 0.349 9.57 1.37 0.24 Derek Anderson CLE 4 48.0 248.0 20.67 0.431 9.48 2.37 0.24 Billy McMullen MIN 14 9.5 140.0 11.67 1.228 9.45 0.68 0.24 Rashied Davis CHI 14 9.5 138.5 11.54 1.215 9.33 0.67 0.23 Alvis Whitted OAK 14 13.5 149.5 12.46 0.923 9.31 0.67 0.23 Chris Baker NYJ 14 14.0 150.0 12.50 0.893 9.24 0.66 0.23 C. Anderson OAK 14 10.5 139.5 11.63 1.107 9.18 0.66 0.23 Cedric Houston NYJ 7 97.0 380.0 31.67 0.326 9.07 1.30 0.23 Eric Johnson SFO 11 16.0 151.0 12.58 0.786 8.86 0.81 0.22 Mack Strong SEA 14 46.0 233.0 19.42 0.422 8.70 0.62 0.22 Ike Hilliard TAM 14 14.5 144.0 12.00 0.828 8.62 0.62 0.22 B. Gradkowski TAM 13 205.0 676.5 56.38 0.275 8.61 0.66 0.22 B. Marshall DEN 13 7.0 122.0 10.17 1.452 8.54 0.66 0.21 Brandon Jones TEN 14 10.5 130.0 10.83 1.032 8.39 0.60 0.21 Malcom Floyd SDG 12 7.5 120.0 10.00 1.333 8.25 0.69 0.21 Artose Pinner MIN 10 39.0 208.0 17.33 0.444 8.25 0.82 0.21 Jason Campbell WAS 5 95.0 363.5 30.29 0.319 8.16 1.63 0.20 R. Williams OAK 14 12.5 132.5 11.04 0.883 8.13 0.58 0.20 Tony Scheffler DEN 11 6.5 113.0 9.42 1.449 7.90 0.72 0.20 D. Northcutt CLE 12 13.0 130.5 10.88 0.837 7.85 0.65 0.20 Kurt Warner ARI 5 69.5 288.0 24.00 0.345 7.81 1.56 0.20 Samkon Gado HOU 8 62.0 267.0 22.25 0.359 7.80 0.98 0.20 Tim Carter NYG 14 9.5 120.0 10.00 1.053 7.79 0.56 0.19 Reggie Kelly CIN 14 9.0 118.5 9.88 1.097 7.78 0.56 0.19 Stephen Davis STL 13 38.5 200.0 16.67 0.433 7.70 0.59 0.19 Klopfenstein STL 14 10.0 118.0 9.83 0.983 7.50 0.54 0.19 Trent Green KAN 6 89.5 339.5 28.29 0.316 7.44 1.24 0.19 Musa Smith BAL 12 47.0 220.5 18.38 0.391 7.42 0.62 0.19 Jay Cutler DEN 3 49.0 226.0 18.83 0.384 7.42 2.47 0.19 Robert Royal BUF 14 10.0 116.0 9.67 0.967 7.34 0.52 0.18 Drew Bledsoe DAL 6 92.5 345.0 28.75 0.311 7.20 1.20 0.18 Hank Baskett PHI 14 8.0 108.5 9.04 1.130 7.18 0.51 0.18 Mark Bradley CHI 8 5.0 99.5 8.29 1.658 7.13 0.89 0.18 Tim Rattay TAM 2 24.0 150.5 12.54 0.523 6.95 3.47 0.17 Kyle Boller BAL 4 49.5 221.5 18.46 0.373 6.92 1.73 0.17 Troy Walters ARI 14 11.5 114.5 9.54 0.830 6.86 0.49 0.17 Vernon Davis SFO 8 7.5 103.0 8.58 1.144 6.84 0.85 0.17 Bobby Engram SEA 5 10.0 108.0 9.00 0.900 6.67 1.33 0.17 Steve Heiden CLE 14 16.5 126.0 10.50 0.636 6.66 0.48 0.17 Nate Burleson SEA 14 8.5 103.5 8.63 1.015 6.64 0.47 0.17 David Martin GNB 11 10.5 109.0 9.08 0.865 6.64 0.60 0.17 Daniel Graham NWE 10 8.5 102.5 8.54 1.005 6.56 0.66 0.16 Kevan Barlow NYJ 11 113.0 394.0 32.83 0.291 6.50 0.59 0.16 David Tyree NYG 14 8.5 101.0 8.42 0.990 6.44 0.46 0.16 LenDale White TEN 11 53.0 224.0 18.67 0.352 6.32 0.57 0.16 Ruvell Martin GNB 11 5.5 90.5 7.54 1.371 6.26 0.57 0.16 Dante Hall KAN 13 12.5 109.5 9.13 0.730 6.21 0.48 0.16 Alex Smith TAM 13 15.5 117.5 9.79 0.632 6.18 0.48 0.15 Chad Jackson NWE 10 8.0 96.5 8.04 1.005 6.18 0.62 0.15 J. Stevens SEA 9 8.0 96.5 8.04 1.005 6.18 0.69 0.15 Derek Hagan MIA 14 8.5 95.0 7.92 0.931 5.94 0.42 0.15 Bryan Fletcher IND 13 7.5 91.5 7.63 1.017 5.88 0.45 0.15 David Kircus DEN 14 3.5 79.0 6.58 1.881 5.77 0.41 0.14 Aaron Stecker NOR 11 12.5 104.0 8.67 0.693 5.75 0.52 0.14 ReShard Lee OAK 14 23.5 134.5 11.21 0.477 5.73 0.41 0.14 Ben Troupe TEN 10 6.5 85.0 7.08 1.090 5.57 0.56 0.14 Bubba Franks GNB 14 10.0 94.5 7.88 0.788 5.55 0.40 0.14 Nick Goings CAR 10 16.0 110.5 9.21 0.576 5.48 0.55 0.14 Daniel Wilcox BAL 12 9.0 90.5 7.54 0.838 5.44 0.45 0.14 S. Alexander DEN 14 9.0 90.0 7.50 0.833 5.40 0.39 0.14 James Thrash WAS 14 6.0 80.5 6.71 1.118 5.31 0.38 0.13 Matt Schobel PHI 14 5.0 77.5 6.46 1.292 5.29 0.38 0.13 Maurice Hicks SFO 14 34.5 157.5 13.13 0.380 5.09 0.36 0.13 Mike Anderson BAL 14 34.0 156.0 13.00 0.382 5.08 0.36 0.13 Corey Bradford DET 8 6.5 79.0 6.58 1.013 5.07 0.63 0.13 Kris Mangum CAR 13 10.5 90.0 7.50 0.714 5.05 0.39 0.13 John Madsen OAK 13 5.0 74.5 6.21 1.242 5.04 0.39 0.13 Ciatrick Fason MIN 5 18.0 109.0 9.08 0.505 4.89 0.98 0.12 Verron Haynes PIT 7 24.0 125.5 10.46 0.436 4.87 0.70 0.12 Ovie Mughelli BAL 14 13.5 95.0 7.92 0.586 4.77 0.34 0.12 Tim Dwight NYJ 9 10.0 84.0 7.00 0.700 4.67 0.52 0.12 Shaun McDonald STL 14 6.5 73.0 6.08 0.936 4.57 0.33 0.11 Mark Campbell NOR 13 8.5 78.0 6.50 0.765 4.52 0.35 0.11 Bethel Johnson MIN 9 7.0 72.5 6.04 0.863 4.41 0.49 0.11 Aaron Brooks OAK 7 104.0 343.5 28.63 0.275 4.39 0.63 0.11 Tony Fisher STL 8 13.0 88.5 7.38 0.567 4.35 0.54 0.11 Cecil Sapp DEN 11 10.0 80.0 6.67 0.667 4.34 0.39 0.11 Mike Alstott TAM 14 32.0 141.0 11.75 0.367 4.29 0.31 0.11 Zack Crockett OAK 14 36.0 152.0 12.67 0.352 4.28 0.31 0.11 K. Washington CIN 5 4.5 62.5 5.21 1.157 4.16 0.83 0.10 Kevin Walter HOU 14 8.5 72.5 6.04 0.711 4.06 0.29 0.10 Jabar Gaffney NWE 9 3.5 58.5 4.88 1.393 4.06 0.45 0.10 Az-Zahir Hakim DET 6 9.5 74.5 6.21 0.654 3.99 0.67 0.10 Michael Gaines CAR 14 7.0 67.0 5.58 0.798 3.95 0.28 0.10 Brad Hoover CAR 14 28.5 127.0 10.58 0.371 3.94 0.28 0.10 Sage Rosenfels HOU 4 23.5 112.5 9.38 0.399 3.90 0.97 0.10 Marcedes Lewis JAC 13 5.5 61.5 5.13 0.932 3.84 0.30 0.10 Alvin Pearman JAC 11 19.0 99.0 8.25 0.434 3.82 0.35 0.10 Mike Sellers WAS 14 17.0 93.0 7.75 0.456 3.79 0.27 0.09 T. Jackson MIN 2 16.5 91.0 7.58 0.460 3.74 1.87 0.09 Kris Wilson KAN 14 6.5 63.0 5.25 0.808 3.74 0.27 0.09 O. Ayanbadejo ARI 12 10.5 72.0 6.00 0.571 3.55 0.30 0.09 Chris Brown TEN 5 41.0 156.0 13.00 0.317 3.45 0.69 0.09 David Givens TEN 5 5.0 55.0 4.58 0.917 3.42 0.68 0.09 Jason McKie CHI 14 19.5 95.5 7.96 0.408 3.41 0.24 0.09 B. Manumaleuna SDG 14 7.0 60.5 5.04 0.720 3.41 0.24 0.09 Leonard Pope ARI 14 6.5 58.5 4.88 0.750 3.36 0.24 0.08 Anthony Fasano DAL 14 6.0 56.5 4.71 0.785 3.31 0.24 0.08 Adam Bergen ARI 14 7.5 60.5 5.04 0.672 3.29 0.24 0.08 Tony Stewart CIN 14 5.5 54.5 4.54 0.826 3.26 0.23 0.08 Ahmard Hall TEN 12 13.0 74.5 6.21 0.478 3.18 0.26 0.08 Jameel Cook HOU 11 12.0 71.5 5.96 0.497 3.16 0.29 0.08 Jeb Putzier HOU 12 5.5 53.0 4.42 0.803 3.14 0.26 0.08 Joshua Cribbs CLE 14 6.5 54.5 4.54 0.699 3.03 0.22 0.08 B. Stokley IND 4 4.0 47.5 3.96 0.990 3.03 0.76 0.08 Anthony Becht TAM 14 8.5 60.0 5.00 0.588 3.02 0.22 0.08 R. Williams TEN 12 3.0 44.5 3.71 1.236 3.01 0.25 0.08 T. Richardson MIN 9 11.5 67.5 5.63 0.489 2.95 0.33 0.07 Brad Smith NYJ 14 16.0 80.0 6.67 0.417 2.94 0.21 0.07 T.J. Duckett WAS 8 30.0 118.0 9.83 0.328 2.84 0.36 0.07 Marcus Pollard DET 13 6.0 50.0 4.17 0.694 2.77 0.21 0.07 Heath Evans NWE 14 25.0 103.0 8.58 0.343 2.76 0.20 0.07 Billy Miller NOR 8 5.5 48.0 4.00 0.727 2.72 0.34 0.07 Sam Hurd DAL 13 2.5 37.5 3.13 1.250 2.54 0.20 0.06 Earnest Graham TAM 14 6.0 47.0 3.92 0.653 2.52 0.18 0.06 M. Robinson SFO 14 38.0 136.0 11.33 0.298 2.48 0.18 0.06 Justin Peelle MIA 13 6.5 47.5 3.96 0.609 2.44 0.19 0.06 Lorenzo Neal SDG 14 26.0 102.0 8.50 0.327 2.44 0.17 0.06 Chris Perry CIN 6 10.0 57.0 4.75 0.475 2.42 0.40 0.06 Jeremi Johnson CIN 14 14.0 66.0 5.50 0.393 2.24 0.16 0.06 Cleo Lemon MIA 2 8.0 49.0 4.08 0.510 2.22 1.11 0.06 A. Peterson CHI 14 7.0 46.0 3.83 0.548 2.20 0.16 0.06 Chris Weinke CAR 2 47.5 157.5 13.13 0.276 2.06 1.03 0.05 Marcel Shipp ARI 13 12.0 58.0 4.83 0.403 2.04 0.16 0.05 Travis Minor MIA 14 19.0 74.0 6.17 0.325 1.74 0.12 0.04 Itula Mili SEA 10 5.0 34.5 2.88 0.575 1.71 0.17 0.04 Chad Morton NYG 14 1.0 22.0 1.83 1.833 1.60 0.11 0.04 C. Whitehurst SDG 2 2.0 23.0 1.92 0.958 1.45 0.73 0.04 Ryan Moats PHI 7 11.0 47.0 3.92 0.356 1.35 0.19 0.03 Kyle Johnson DEN 12 5.0 30.0 2.50 0.500 1.34 0.11 0.03 Damien Nash DEN 3 18.0 66.0 5.50 0.306 1.31 0.44 0.03 Jason Wright CLE 13 62.0 189.0 15.75 0.254 1.30 0.10 0.03 Arlen Harris DET 8 29.0 95.0 7.92 0.273 1.16 0.14 0.03 Andrew Pinnock SDG 3 4.0 25.0 2.08 0.521 1.15 0.38 0.03 Matt Turk STL 14 2.0 19.0 1.58 0.792 1.12 0.08 0.03 John Kuhn PIT 7 2.0 18.0 1.50 0.750 1.03 0.15 0.03 Mike Karney NOR 13 10.0 40.0 3.33 0.333 1.00 0.08 0.03 Ryan Longwell MIN 14 0.5 13.0 1.08 2.167 0.97 0.07 0.02 Brian Griese CHI 4 4.0 22.5 1.88 0.469 0.94 0.24 0.02 Anthony Wright CIN 4 1.5 15.5 1.29 0.861 0.94 0.24 0.02 Gus Frerotte STL 1 1.5 13.5 1.13 0.750 0.78 0.78 0.02 Lee Suggs MIA 5 6.0 26.0 2.17 0.361 0.77 0.15 0.02 Devale Ellis DET 7 1.0 12.0 1.00 1.000 0.77 0.11 0.02 J. Harrison CLE 8 19.0 62.0 5.17 0.272 0.74 0.09 0.02 B. Bollinger MIN 2 9.0 33.0 2.75 0.306 0.65 0.33 0.02 Aaron Rodgers GNB 2 9.5 34.0 2.83 0.298 0.62 0.31 0.02 Aveion Cason DET 4 9.0 32.0 2.67 0.296 0.57 0.14 0.01 Jon Ryan GNB 14 0.5 8.0 0.67 1.333 0.55 0.04 0.01 J. Harrington MIA 10 205.5 581.0 48.42 0.236 0.54 0.05 0.01 M. Jennings NYG 8 2.0 12.0 1.00 0.500 0.53 0.07 0.01 Matt Cassel NWE 4 3.5 16.0 1.33 0.381 0.52 0.13 0.01 Ran Carthon IND 3 3.0 14.0 1.17 0.389 0.47 0.16 0.01 Reggie McNeal CIN 5 1.0 8.0 0.67 0.667 0.43 0.09 0.01 Ronnie Cruz KAN 5 5.0 19.0 1.58 0.317 0.42 0.08 0.01 Patrick Pass NWE 3 6.0 21.0 1.75 0.292 0.35 0.12 0.01 David Akers PHI 14 0.5 5.5 0.46 0.917 0.34 0.02 0.01 Tyson Thompson DAL 7 13.0 40.0 3.33 0.256 0.30 0.04 0.01 A.J. Feeley PHI 1 2.5 10.5 0.88 0.350 0.29 0.29 0.01 Adam Jones TEN 13 2.0 8.0 0.67 0.333 0.20 0.02 0.01 A.J. Schable ARI 11 1.0 5.0 0.42 0.417 0.18 0.02 0.00 Eddie Drummond DET 13 1.0 4.0 0.33 0.333 0.10 0.01 0.00 Reno Mahe PHI 10 1.0 4.0 0.33 0.333 0.10 0.01 0.00 R. Cartwright WAS 14 5.0 15.0 1.25 0.250 0.08 0.01 0.00 Eric Shelton CAR 8 8.0 23.0 1.92 0.240 0.05 0.01 0.00 Cedric Cobbs DEN 2 3.0 9.0 0.75 0.250 0.05 0.03 0.00 Derrick Ross KAN 5 3.0 8.0 0.67 0.222 -0.03 -0.01 0.00 Marquis Weeks SEA 8 3.0 8.0 0.67 0.222 -0.03 0.00 0.00 Brian Calhoun DET 7 7.0 19.0 1.58 0.226 -0.05 -0.01 0.00 Edell Shepherd HOU 7 2.0 5.0 0.42 0.208 -0.05 -0.01 0.00 M. Hedgecock STL 14 1.0 2.0 0.17 0.167 -0.07 0.00 0.00 M. Jackson ATL 1 1.0 2.0 0.17 0.167 -0.07 -0.07 0.00 Ben Graham NYJ 14 0.5 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.12 -0.01 0.00 Brian Moorman BUF 14 0.5 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.12 -0.01 0.00 Jeff Feagles NYG 14 0.5 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.12 -0.01 0.00 Kellen Clemens NYJ 2 0.5 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.12 -0.06 0.00 Mike Scifres SDG 14 0.5 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.12 -0.01 0.00 Patrick Ramsey NYJ 1 0.5 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.12 -0.12 0.00 Lousaka Polite DAL 10 7.0 18.0 1.50 0.214 -0.13 -0.01 0.00 Keylon Kincade DAL 1 4.0 9.0 0.75 0.188 -0.18 -0.18 0.00 Dirk Johnson PHI 14 1.0 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.23 -0.02 -0.01 Thomas Tapeh PHI 14 4.0 8.0 0.67 0.167 -0.27 -0.02 -0.01 Rich Alexis JAC 1 3.0 5.0 0.42 0.139 -0.28 -0.28 -0.01 Dee Brown KAN 13 6.0 13.0 1.08 0.181 -0.31 -0.02 -0.01 Shawn Bryson DET 6 2.0 1.0 0.08 0.042 -0.38 -0.06 -0.01 L. Toefield JAC 3 9.0 20.0 1.67 0.185 -0.43 -0.14 -0.01 B.J. Askew NYJ 11 6.0 11.0 0.92 0.153 -0.48 -0.04 -0.01 Terrelle Smith CLE 14 7.0 13.0 1.08 0.155 -0.55 -0.04 -0.01 J.J. Arrington ARI 14 13.0 16.0 1.33 0.103 -1.70 -0.12 -0.04 D. Blaylock NYJ 4 25.0 44.0 3.67 0.147 -2.16 -0.54 -0.05 Brett Basanez CAR 1 6.5 -10.0 -0.83 -0.128 -2.35 -2.35 -0.06 Matt Schaub ATL 14 3.0 -23.5 -1.96 -0.653 -2.66 -0.19 -0.07 M. Tuiasosopo OAK 2 10.5 -12.0 -1.00 -0.095 -3.45 -1.72 -0.09 Andrew Walter OAK 11 133.5 330.5 27.54 0.206 -3.56 -0.32 -0.09 Brodie Croyle KAN 2 3.5 -68.5 -5.71 -1.631 -6.52 -3.26 -0.16 Kerry Collins TEN 4 45.0 39.5 3.29 0.073 -7.19 -1.80 -0.18 Chris Simms TAM 3 57.0 34.5 2.88 0.050 -10.41 -3.47 -0.26 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Let's move on to the team rankings. As usual, here's my explanation of how they are calculated: While I'm still predicting net points with the formula PNP = (Net Yards / 12) + (4 * Net Turnovers), and net wins by pNW = (Games / 2) + (PNP / 40), this method will only comprise 37.5% of my rankings. Since net yards don't take into account punt/kickoff/return yardage, teams with good special teams were being undervalued, so I'm also using the good old pythagorean projection:
- pW% = (PF^2.37)/((PF^2.37)+(PA^2.37))
Predicted net wins and % are denoted by pW1 and pW%1, and pythagorean wins and % are denoted by pW2 and pW%2. A new feature over the past couple weeks has been the addition of a strength of schedule component. What I used to call "rating" (the average of pW%1 and pW%2) is now referred to as the "raw" rating, while "SOS" is the cumulative winning % of the team's opponents. "New Rating" is now 75% the old "raw" rating, and 25% SOS. (Again, I'm using NFL.com's SOS data, meaning that it ought to be right.)
After a week away from the top spot, San Diego re-claimed their supremacy in the rankings with a convincing 20-9 win over Kansas City. Baltimore slipped to second place, but more because of how the Chargers played than any wrongdoings on the Ravens' part. Da Bears held steady at #3, while New England passed Jacksonville for fourth after the latter lost to Tennessee. Here's how the full rankings look after Week 15:
Team Rankings (sorted by New Rating):
Rk Prv Team G Off Def Give Take NetYds NetTO PNP pW1 pW%1 PF PA pW2 pW%2 Raw SOS NewRtg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 2 San Diego Chargers 14 5113 4067 14 25 1046 11 131.2 10.3 0.734 445 266 10.8 0.772 0.753 0.459 0.680 2 1 Baltimore Ravens 14 4386 3721 19 34 665 15 115.4 9.9 0.706 303 187 10.6 0.758 0.732 0.469 0.666 3 3 Chicago Bears 14 4529 4006 30 42 523 12 91.6 9.3 0.664 394 208 11.5 0.820 0.742 0.434 0.665 4 5 New England Patriots 14 4596 4029 27 31 567 4 63.3 8.6 0.613 321 193 10.8 0.770 0.691 0.505 0.645 5 4 Jacksonville Jaguars 14 4687 3784 21 21 903 0 75.3 8.9 0.634 320 215 10.1 0.720 0.677 0.515 0.636 6 6 Dallas Cowboys 14 5206 4377 23 29 829 6 93.1 9.3 0.666 387 288 9.4 0.668 0.667 0.464 0.616 7 8 Indianapolis Colts 14 5352 4608 17 25 744 8 94.0 9.4 0.668 376 311 8.5 0.611 0.639 0.531 0.612 8 7 New Orleans Saints 14 5608 4462 21 16 1146 -5 75.5 8.9 0.635 362 284 9.0 0.640 0.637 0.459 0.593 9 11 Pittsburgh Steelers 14 4992 4151 32 26 841 -6 46.1 8.2 0.582 323 267 8.6 0.611 0.597 0.485 0.569 10 10 Philadelphia Eagles 14 5284 4670 22 25 614 3 63.2 8.6 0.613 351 304 8.2 0.584 0.599 0.474 0.567 11 9 Cincinnati Bengals 14 4824 4912 20 27 -88 7 20.7 7.5 0.537 333 284 8.3 0.593 0.565 0.531 0.557 12 13 New York Giants 14 4717 4727 25 26 -10 1 3.2 7.1 0.506 314 304 7.3 0.519 0.512 0.536 0.518 13 12 Miami Dolphins 14 4353 3902 24 25 451 1 41.6 8.0 0.574 228 243 6.5 0.462 0.518 0.515 0.517 14 14 Minnesota Vikings 14 4546 4068 29 33 478 4 55.8 8.4 0.600 254 277 6.3 0.449 0.524 0.480 0.513 15 17 Denver Broncos 14 4339 4520 25 25 -181 0 -15.1 6.6 0.473 272 256 7.5 0.536 0.504 0.526 0.510 16 15 Kansas City Chiefs 14 4456 4558 22 24 -102 2 -0.5 7.0 0.499 276 276 7.0 0.500 0.500 0.520 0.505 17 18 St. Louis Rams 14 4772 4733 17 29 39 12 51.3 8.3 0.592 289 329 5.9 0.424 0.508 0.464 0.497 18 16 Atlanta Falcons 14 4755 4738 17 25 17 8 33.4 7.8 0.560 272 294 6.4 0.454 0.507 0.444 0.491 19 20 New York Jets 14 4301 4844 24 22 -543 -2 -53.3 5.7 0.405 280 282 6.9 0.496 0.450 0.510 0.465 20 22 Buffalo Bills 14 3650 4550 24 23 -900 -1 -79.0 5.0 0.359 264 262 7.1 0.505 0.432 0.556 0.463 21 23 Washington Redskins 14 4514 4754 14 11 -240 -3 -32.0 6.2 0.443 248 305 5.3 0.380 0.411 0.520 0.439 22 19 Carolina Panthers 14 4416 4263 27 18 153 -9 -23.3 6.4 0.458 229 281 5.3 0.381 0.420 0.474 0.433 23 24 Green Bay Packers 14 4766 4714 29 26 52 -3 -7.7 6.8 0.486 266 352 4.8 0.340 0.413 0.480 0.430 24 21 Seattle Seahawks 14 4319 4658 31 24 -339 -7 -56.3 5.6 0.400 295 314 6.5 0.463 0.431 0.418 0.428 25 25 Tennessee Titans 14 4072 5133 23 26 -1061 3 -76.4 5.1 0.364 271 331 5.4 0.384 0.374 0.571 0.423 26 26 Arizona Cardinals 14 4184 4981 28 30 -797 2 -58.4 5.5 0.396 268 342 5.0 0.359 0.378 0.474 0.402 27 29 San Francisco 49ers 14 4277 4810 29 23 -533 -6 -68.4 5.3 0.378 252 363 4.1 0.296 0.337 0.490 0.375 28 28 Detroit Lions 14 4260 4811 37 26 -551 -11 -89.9 4.8 0.339 245 341 4.4 0.314 0.326 0.500 0.370 29 27 Houston Texans 14 3932 4775 24 18 -843 -6 -94.3 4.6 0.332 226 336 3.9 0.281 0.306 0.526 0.361 30 30 Cleveland Browns 14 3740 4983 35 24 -1243 -11 -147.6 3.3 0.236 225 320 4.2 0.303 0.270 0.566 0.344 31 31 Oakland Raiders 14 3423 3999 38 22 -576 -16 -112.0 4.2 0.300 156 289 2.6 0.188 0.244 0.536 0.317 32 32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 3679 4740 28 15 -1061 -13 -140.4 3.5 0.249 182 323 2.9 0.204 0.227 0.566 0.312 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are my odds on Week 16's games:
A-B Team A% Team B% OddsA Home A B Favorite -------------------------------------------------------------------- GB-MIN 0.430 0.513 41.7% 5.8% 47.5% 52.5% Minnesota OAK-KC 0.317 0.505 31.3% 5.8% 37.1% 62.9% Kansas City STL-WSH 0.497 0.439 55.8% 5.8% 61.6% 38.4% St. Louis BUF-TEN 0.463 0.423 54.0% 5.8% 59.8% 40.2% Buffalo CLE-TB 0.344 0.312 53.6% 5.8% 59.4% 40.6% Cleveland NYG-NO 0.518 0.593 42.4% 5.8% 48.2% 51.8% New Orleans JAX-NE 0.636 0.645 49.0% 5.8% 54.8% 45.2% Jacksonville HOU-IND 0.361 0.612 26.4% 5.8% 32.2% 67.8% Indianapolis DET-CHI 0.370 0.665 22.8% 5.8% 28.6% 71.4% Chicago ATL-CAR 0.491 0.433 55.8% 5.8% 61.6% 38.4% Atlanta PIT-BAL 0.569 0.666 39.8% 5.8% 45.6% 54.4% Baltimore SF-ARZ 0.375 0.402 47.2% 5.8% 53.0% 47.0% San Francisco DEN-CIN 0.510 0.557 45.3% 5.8% 51.1% 48.9% Denver SEA-SD 0.428 0.680 26.0% 5.8% 31.8% 68.2% San Diego DAL-PHI 0.616 0.567 55.1% 5.8% 60.9% 39.1% Dallas... no, wait -- for Christof, Philly MIA-NYJ 0.517 0.465 55.2% 5.8% 61.0% 39.0% Miami --------------------------------------------------------------------
Well, that's all. From me to you and yours, Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!!!! Oh, and happy football-watching!
See also:
- 2006 NFL Capsules: Introduction ("NFL at the Movies")
- Davis21wylie's Week 14 NFL Team Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 13 NFL Team Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 12 NFL Team Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 10 NFL Team Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 9 NFL Player and Team Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 8 NFL Team Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 7 NFL Player -- And Team! -- Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 6 NFL Player -- And Team! -- Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 5 NFL Player Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 4 NFL Player Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 3 NFL Player Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 2 NFL Player Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 1 NFL Player Rankings


