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Davis21wylie's Week 15/16 NFL Bonanza!

14
Vote

by user Davis21wylie

Image:Merry Christmas.jpg

Ah, can you feel it? Christmas is just a few days away, and I don't know about you, but I'm excited! The mistletoe, the eggnog... and the fact that these final few weeks of the NFL season are shaping up to be one of the most thrilling finishes ever (18 teams are in the playoff hunt) -- it's the National Football League's very own gift to you! Thank God football lives and lives forever! My gift for you, loyal readers, is much humbler, of course. As you all know, I haven't been able to do player rankings since Week 9 because of school. Finally, though, your patience with me has been rewarded, as I come bearing a Leonard Davis-sized NFL article, designed to bring a merry Christmas to readers young and old. Yes, Virginia, there is a LaDainian Tomlinson!!

Question_dropshade.png
don't know what these numbers mean?
Plays are the number of opportunities the player consumes. Rushes count as a full play, while passes and receptions are worth half a play each.

TAY stands for Total Adjusted Yards, an attempt to scale all players' yards equally.

Net Points is an estimate of the number of points the player produced through his passes, rushes, and receptions. It is equal to TAY / 12.

Pts/Play is the number of points the player produced per play consumed.

PAR means Points Above Replacement; it's a rough estimate of the number of extra points the player produced over what a random minimum-wage free agent would have if given the same opportunity.

PAR/G is the average number of points above replacement the player puts up per game.

WARP stands for Wins Above Replacement Player, and is the theoretical number of wins the player has added to his team over that which a random waiver-wire player would produce.

Click Here for further explanation of all of the advanced stats seen here.

Leading off are the player rankings. Since I last crunched these numbers, many changes have taken place across the NFL. Regrettably, Donovan McNabb, who had been bringing joy to the hearts of Eagles fans everywhere (and anyone who enjoys seeing a great QB take care of his business, for that matter), went down with an ACL injury, bringing his fantastic year to a premature finish. But even in his absence, the league is not lacking for great performances... The greatest of them all has been Tomlinson, whose record-breaking forays into the end zone have vaulted him into first place in the player rankings. In fact, at 103.16 PAR through 14 games, LT is on pace to break the all-time record for most PAR by a running back under my system -- formerly held by Barry Sanders, who threw down 112.99 PAR in 1997. Tomlinson will probably not play in Week 17 if San Diego clinches home-field this week, but if he does end up playing all 16 games, he will almost certainly set a new benchmark for PAR greatness. Other outstanding ballcarriers this year have been San Francisco's Frank Gore, who checks in at second among RB's, and the always-terrific Larry Johnson of Kansas City. Philly's Brian Westbrook was snubbed for the Pro Bowl this year, as he ranks ahead of both Tiki Barber and Steven Jackson in PAR, and by a pretty sizable margin.

Alas! how dreary would be the world if there were no LaDainian Tomlinson!
Alas! how dreary would be the world if there were no LaDainian Tomlinson!

While running backs generally dominate the Top 15 in PAR, Tomlinson and Gore are the only ones in the Top 8, meaning that quarterbacks have been particularly good at pulling their weight this year. As usual, the leader of them all is Peyton Manning, who has been absolutely masterful again in 2006 (he's on pace for his second-best season ever, behind only his crazy 2004). Trailing him is Drew Brees, a guy who has reinvigorated the Saints by passing for obscene yardage totals week in and week out (his 1838 TAY is eclipsed only by Tomlinson and Johnson). Surpringly, Michael Vick is also among the QB leaders in PAR, but it makes sense: he's coupling great rushing numbers (he'll post the first 2,000-1,000 season ever) with decent, turnover-free passing to produce .514 Pts/Play. Pro Bowler Marc Bulger still ranks behind McNabb, thanks to some uninspired play since the last time I released the rankings, but he remains a deserving pick for Honolulu. Similarly, Dallas' Tony Romo hasn't played enough for a gaudy PAR, but his .477 Pts/Play is certainly up there with the league's elite QB's, making his selection justifiable.

Among receivers, there are a number of players that still have time to grab the PAR crown. Cincinnati's Chad Johnson leads the way with 47.7 PAR (remember, WR's typically have lower PAR's than QB's and RB's because they touch the ball less), but Denver's dynamic Javon Walker is right on his heels. Colts teammates Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison are each less than 4 PAR off the lead as well, and Donald Driver and Steve Smith are not far behind. These six recievers (all of whom but Walker are going to Honolulu) have shown all season what it takes to be a superstar NFL wideout, and they might be the best single-season crop of pass-catchers ever (although none have a shot at Jerry Rice's all-time single-season PAR record of 66.45).

Week 15's MVP: Tomlinson, who continued his assault on the record books with 204 total yards and 2 TD against KC.

Week 15's Least Valuable Player: Nobody, because I'm too immersed in the Christmas spirit to hand out such a lump of coal.

Player Rankings (sorted by PAR):

 Name  		Team  	G  	Plays	TAY	Net Pts	Pts/Ply	PAR	PAR/G	WARP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 L. Tomlinson 	SDG 	14	338.0	2183.0	181.92	0.538	103.16	7.37	2.58
 Peyton Manning IND 	14	267.5	1781.0	148.42	0.555	86.09	6.15	2.15
 Drew Brees 	NOR 	14	294.5	1838.0	153.17	0.520	84.55	6.04	2.11
 Michael Vick 	ATL 	14	293.0	1807.0	150.58	0.514	82.31	5.88	2.06
 Frank Gore 	SFO 	14	296.5	1765.0	147.08	0.496	78.00	5.57	1.95
 Donovan McNabb PHI 	10	190.0	1415.5	117.96	0.621	73.69	7.37	1.84
 Marc Bulger 	STL 	14	276.0	1624.5	135.38	0.490	71.07	5.08	1.78
 Carson Palmer 	CIN 	14	243.0	1501.5	125.13	0.515	68.51	4.89	1.71
 Larry Johnson 	KAN 	14	370.0	1850.0	154.17	0.417	67.96	4.85	1.70
 B. Westbrook 	PHI 	13	250.0	1514.0	126.17	0.505	67.92	5.22	1.70
 Steven Jackson STL 	14	329.0	1671.0	139.25	0.423	62.59	4.47	1.56
 Willie Parker 	PIT 	14	301.5	1561.5	130.13	0.432	59.88	4.28	1.50
 Tiki Barber 	NYG 	14	314.0	1591.5	132.63	0.422	59.46	4.25	1.49
 M. Jones-Drew 	JAC 	14	153.0	1063.5	88.63	0.579	52.98	3.78	1.32
 Fred Taylor 	JAC 	14	235.0	1278.0	106.50	0.453	51.75	3.70	1.29
 Philip Rivers 	SDG 	14	246.0	1299.0	108.25	0.440	50.93	3.64	1.27
 Damon Huard 	KAN 	9	129.5	936.0	78.00	0.602	47.83	5.31	1.20
 Chad Johnson 	CIN 	14	46.0	701.0	58.42	1.270	47.70	3.41	1.19
 Javon Walker 	DEN 	14	37.0	668.5	55.71	1.506	47.09	3.36	1.18
 Joseph Addai 	IND 	14	206.5	1136.0	94.67	0.458	46.55	3.33	1.16
 Reggie Wayne 	IND 	14	38.5	651.5	54.29	1.410	45.32	3.24	1.13
 Ladell Betts 	WAS 	14	218.5	1132.0	94.33	0.432	43.42	3.10	1.09
 M. Harrison 	IND 	14	41.0	635.0	52.92	1.291	43.36	3.10	1.08
 Donald Driver 	GNB 	14	46.0	643.5	53.63	1.166	42.91	3.06	1.07
 Steve Smith 	CAR 	12	44.0	625.5	52.13	1.185	41.87	3.49	1.05
 Marion Barber 	DAL 	14	131.0	862.5	71.88	0.549	41.35	2.95	1.03
 Chester Taylor MIN 	13	295.0	1319.0	109.92	0.373	41.18	3.17	1.03
 J.P. Losman 	BUF 	14	217.5	1099.0	91.58	0.421	40.91	2.92	1.02
 Tom Brady 	NWE 	14	264.5	1229.5	102.46	0.387	40.83	2.92	1.02
 D. McAllister 	NOR 	14	231.0	1131.0	94.25	0.408	40.43	2.89	1.01
 Tony Romo 	DAL 	14	165.0	944.0	78.67	0.477	40.22	2.87	1.01
 Roy Williams 	DET 	14	37.0	585.5	48.79	1.319	40.17	2.87	1.00
 Lee Evans 	BUF 	14	35.0	571.5	47.63	1.361	39.47	2.82	0.99
 Ahman Green 	GNB 	12	245.0	1154.5	96.21	0.393	39.12	3.26	0.98
 Terrell Owens 	DAL 	14	38.5	575.0	47.92	1.245	38.95	2.78	0.97
 Torry Holt 	STL 	14	40.0	572.0	47.67	1.192	38.35	2.74	0.96
 L. Coles 	NYJ 	14	45.5	576.5	48.04	1.056	37.44	2.67	0.94
 Steve McNair 	BAL 	14	239.0	1113.0	92.75	0.388	37.06	2.65	0.93
 M. Colston 	NOR 	12	33.0	535.5	44.63	1.352	36.94	3.08	0.92
 D. Jackson 	SEA 	13	31.5	528.0	44.00	1.397	36.66	2.82	0.92
 Andre Johnson 	HOU 	14	51.5	582.5	48.54	0.943	36.54	2.61	0.91
 Rudi Johnson 	CIN 	14	308.0	1298.0	108.17	0.351	36.40	2.60	0.91
 Thomas Jones 	CHI 	14	292.0	1252.5	104.38	0.357	36.34	2.60	0.91
 Anquan Boldin 	ARI 	14	40.5	543.5	45.29	1.118	35.86	2.56	0.90
 Kevin Jones 	DET 	12	211.5	1019.0	84.92	0.401	35.64	2.97	0.89
 Julius Jones 	DAL 	14	251.0	1125.0	93.75	0.374	35.27	2.52	0.88
 Warrick Dunn 	ATL 	14	267.0	1165.0	97.08	0.364	34.87	2.49	0.87
 Travis Henry 	TEN 	12	224.0	1044.0	87.00	0.388	34.81	2.90	0.87
 P. Burress 	NYG 	13	30.0	498.5	41.54	1.385	34.55	2.66	0.86
 Joey Galloway 	TAM 	14	28.0	491.5	40.96	1.463	34.43	2.46	0.86
 Mark Brunell 	WAS 	9	142.0	802.5	66.88	0.471	33.79	3.75	0.84
 Terry Glenn 	DAL 	13	34.5	501.5	41.79	1.211	33.75	2.60	0.84
 Jon Kitna 	DET 	14	282.5	1191.5	99.29	0.351	33.47	2.39	0.84
 Houshmandzadeh CIN 	12	41.5	517.5	43.13	1.039	33.46	2.79	0.84
 Reggie Brown 	PHI 	14	24.5	468.5	39.04	1.594	33.33	2.38	0.83
 Brett Favre 	GNB 	14	282.5	1182.5	98.54	0.349	32.72	2.34	0.82
 Vince Young 	TEN 	13	223.5	1016.5	84.71	0.379	32.63	2.51	0.82
 David Carr 	HOU 	14	248.0	1076.0	89.67	0.362	31.88	2.28	0.80
 Tatum Bell 	DEN 	11	219.5	991.0	82.58	0.376	31.44	2.86	0.79
 B. Edwards 	CLE 	14	27.5	445.5	37.13	1.350	30.72	2.19	0.77
 J. Cotchery 	NYJ 	14	38.5	475.0	39.58	1.028	30.61	2.19	0.77
 Hines Ward 	PIT 	12	30.5	452.5	37.71	1.236	30.60	2.55	0.77
 Isaac Bruce 	STL 	14	30.5	452.0	37.67	1.235	30.56	2.18	0.76
 Santana Moss 	WAS 	12	30.0	436.0	36.33	1.211	29.34	2.45	0.73
 Ronnie Brown 	MIA 	11	217.0	958.5	79.88	0.368	29.31	2.66	0.73
 Antonio Gates 	SDG 	14	32.5	442.5	36.88	1.135	29.30	2.09	0.73
 Mike Furrey 	DET 	14	38.5	458.5	38.21	0.992	29.24	2.09	0.73
 Corey Dillon 	NWE 	14	183.5	859.0	71.58	0.390	28.83	2.06	0.72
 L. Fitzgerald 	ARI 	11	30.5	430.0	35.83	1.175	28.73	2.61	0.72
 Jake Delhomme 	CAR 	12	217.0	949.0	79.08	0.364	28.52	2.38	0.71
 Mark Clayton 	BAL 	14	29.0	422.5	35.21	1.214	28.45	2.03	0.71
 Tony Gonzalez 	KAN 	13	33.0	431.0	35.92	1.088	28.23	2.17	0.71
 D. Henderson 	NOR 	11	17.0	386.0	32.17	1.892	28.21	2.56	0.71
 Willis McGahee BUF 	12	234.0	990.0	82.50	0.353	27.98	2.33	0.70
 J. Norwood 	ATL 	12	84.5	570.0	47.50	0.562	27.81	2.32	0.70
 M. Muhammad 	CHI 	14	28.0	411.0	34.25	1.223	27.73	1.98	0.69
 Jamal Lewis 	BAL 	14	277.5	1107.0	92.25	0.332	27.59	1.97	0.69
 Antonio Bryant SFO 	14	20.0	381.5	31.79	1.590	27.13	1.94	0.68
 C. Pennington 	NYJ 	14	241.0	997.0	83.08	0.345	26.93	1.92	0.67
 Chris Chambers MIA 	14	34.5	419.0	34.92	1.012	26.88	1.92	0.67
 Marty Booker 	MIA 	13	28.5	399.5	33.29	1.168	26.65	2.05	0.67
 B. Berrian 	CHI 	13	24.5	387.5	32.29	1.318	26.58	2.04	0.66
 D. Stallworth 	PHI 	10	17.5	362.0	30.17	1.724	26.09	2.61	0.65
 Eddie Kennison KAN 	14	26.0	381.0	31.75	1.221	25.69	1.84	0.64
 Alge Crumpler 	ATL 	14	23.5	373.5	31.13	1.324	25.65	1.83	0.64
 Joe Horn 	NOR 	10	19.0	359.5	29.96	1.577	25.53	2.55	0.64
 L. Maroney 	NWE 	12	164.0	763.0	63.58	0.388	25.37	2.11	0.63
 Clinton Portis WAS 	8	135.5	678.0	56.50	0.417	24.93	3.12	0.62
 Brandon Jacobs NYG 	14	95.5	562.5	46.88	0.491	24.62	1.76	0.62
 Reggie Bush 	NOR 	14	174.5	782.0	65.17	0.373	24.51	1.75	0.61
 Jeff Garcia 	PHI 	6	99.0	570.0	47.50	0.480	24.43	4.07	0.61
 Deion Branch 	SEA 	12	26.5	363.0	30.25	1.142	24.08	2.01	0.60
 Drew Bennett 	TEN 	14	21.0	346.0	28.83	1.373	23.94	1.71	0.60
 Kellen Winslow CLE 	14	38.0	392.5	32.71	0.861	23.85	1.70	0.60
 L. Washington 	NYJ 	14	139.5	673.5	56.13	0.402	23.62	1.69	0.59
 K. Johnson 	CAR 	14	34.5	379.0	31.58	0.915	23.54	1.68	0.59
 Mike Bell 	DEN 	13	138.0	667.5	55.63	0.403	23.47	1.81	0.59
 Alex Smith 	SFO 	14	231.5	927.0	77.25	0.334	23.31	1.67	0.58
 Derrick Mason 	BAL 	14	30.5	365.0	30.42	0.997	23.31	1.67	0.58
 Edgerrin James ARI 	14	310.5	1145.0	95.42	0.307	23.07	1.65	0.58
 Bryant Johnson ARI 	14	17.5	322.5	26.88	1.536	22.80	1.63	0.57
 K. Washington 	PIT 	14	19.5	325.0	27.08	1.389	22.54	1.61	0.56
 Eli Manning 	NYG 	14	256.5	987.5	82.29	0.321	22.53	1.61	0.56
 Greg Jennings 	GNB 	13	22.0	330.0	27.50	1.250	22.37	1.72	0.56
 Todd Heap 	BAL 	14	32.0	357.5	29.79	0.931	22.34	1.60	0.56
 Ben Watson 	NWE 	13	24.5	336.5	28.04	1.145	22.33	1.72	0.56
 Desmond Clark 	CHI 	14	21.0	325.0	27.08	1.290	22.19	1.59	0.55
 Chris Cooley 	WAS 	14	22.5	329.0	27.42	1.219	22.17	1.58	0.55
 DeShaun Foster CAR 	12	194.0	807.0	67.25	0.347	22.05	1.84	0.55
 S. Holmes 	PIT 	14	21.0	323.0	26.92	1.282	22.02	1.57	0.55
 D. Williams 	CAR 	11	104.0	555.0	46.25	0.445	22.02	2.00	0.55
 Matt Leinart 	ARI 	11	204.0	831.5	69.29	0.340	21.76	1.98	0.54
 Jeremy Shockey NYG 	14	32.0	348.0	29.00	0.906	21.54	1.54	0.54
 Michael Turner SDG 	11	65.0	435.0	36.25	0.558	21.11	1.92	0.53
 Eric Parker 	SDG 	14	23.5	317.5	26.46	1.126	20.98	1.50	0.52
 Roethlisberger PIT 	13	230.5	895.0	74.58	0.324	20.88	1.61	0.52
 Jason Witten 	DAL 	14	27.0	326.0	27.17	1.006	20.88	1.49	0.52
 Rex Grossman 	CHI 	14	238.0	914.5	76.21	0.320	20.75	1.48	0.52
 Reche Caldwell NWE 	14	26.5	320.5	26.71	1.008	20.53	1.47	0.51
 Arnaz Battle 	SFO 	14	28.5	323.5	26.96	0.946	20.32	1.45	0.51
 Wes Welker 	MIA 	14	31.5	331.5	27.63	0.877	20.29	1.45	0.51
 David Garrard 	JAC 	9	144.0	644.0	53.67	0.373	20.11	2.23	0.50
 C. Williams 	TAM 	14	240.0	906.0	75.50	0.315	19.58	1.40	0.49
 Travis Taylor 	MIN 	14	26.5	309.0	25.75	0.972	19.58	1.40	0.49
 Randy Moss 	OAK 	13	21.0	291.5	24.29	1.157	19.40	1.49	0.48
 R. Williams 	JAC 	14	29.0	311.5	25.96	0.895	19.20	1.37	0.48
 L.J. Smith 	PHI 	14	24.0	292.0	24.33	1.014	18.74	1.34	0.47
 Wali Lundy 	HOU 	12	139.0	611.0	50.92	0.366	18.53	1.54	0.46
 Chris Henry 	CIN 	11	14.5	260.5	21.71	1.497	18.33	1.67	0.46
 M. Hasselbeck 	SEA 	10	166.5	684.5	57.04	0.343	18.25	1.82	0.46
 D.J. Hackett 	SEA 	12	19.0	270.0	22.50	1.184	18.07	1.51	0.45
 Mewelde Moore 	MIN 	14	44.0	339.0	28.25	0.642	18.00	1.29	0.45
 Dominic Rhodes IND 	14	193.5	756.5	63.04	0.326	17.96	1.28	0.45
 V. Morency 	GNB 	12	91.0	469.0	39.08	0.429	17.88	1.49	0.45
 Brad Johnson 	MIN 	14	248.0	906.0	75.50	0.304	17.72	1.27	0.44
 P. Crayton 	DAL 	14	16.0	253.5	21.13	1.320	17.40	1.24	0.43
 Cedrick Wilson PIT 	13	18.5	259.0	21.58	1.167	17.27	1.33	0.43
 Matt Jones 	JAC 	12	16.0	250.0	20.83	1.302	17.11	1.43	0.43
 Eric Moulds 	HOU 	14	28.5	284.0	23.67	0.830	17.03	1.22	0.43
 C. Buckhalter 	PHI 	14	85.5	442.5	36.88	0.431	16.95	1.21	0.42
 R. McMichael 	MIA 	14	26.5	274.5	22.88	0.863	16.70	1.19	0.42
 Samie Parker 	KAN 	14	18.0	247.0	20.58	1.144	16.39	1.17	0.41
 Ernest Wilford JAC 	14	16.0	236.0	19.67	1.229	15.94	1.14	0.40
 A. Randle El 	WAS 	14	32.5	281.0	23.42	0.721	15.84	1.13	0.40
 M. Jenkins 	ATL 	14	18.0	239.0	19.92	1.106	15.72	1.12	0.39
 Cedric Benson 	CHI 	13	129.0	549.0	45.75	0.355	15.69	1.21	0.39
 Sammy Morris 	MIA 	10	92.5	446.5	37.21	0.402	15.66	1.57	0.39
 Kevin Faulk 	NWE 	14	43.5	307.0	25.58	0.588	15.45	1.10	0.39
 Ronald Curry 	OAK 	14	24.0	252.0	21.00	0.875	15.41	1.10	0.39
 Joe Jurevicius CLE 	12	18.0	233.5	19.46	1.081	15.26	1.27	0.38
 T. Williamson 	MIN 	13	18.0	227.0	18.92	1.051	14.72	1.13	0.37
 Rod Smith 	DEN 	14	23.0	239.0	19.92	0.866	14.56	1.04	0.36
 Bo Scaife 	TEN 	13	15.5	218.0	18.17	1.172	14.56	1.12	0.36
 M. Robinson 	MIN 	9	14.5	210.5	17.54	1.210	14.16	1.57	0.35
 D. Culpepper 	MIA 	4	77.0	384.5	32.04	0.416	14.10	3.53	0.35
 Bobby Wade 	TEN 	14	14.0	208.0	17.33	1.238	14.07	1.01	0.35
 Kevin Curtis 	STL 	14	21.5	228.0	19.00	0.884	13.99	1.00	0.35
 Heath Miller 	PIT 	14	15.5	210.5	17.54	1.132	13.93	1.00	0.35
 Roddy White 	ATL 	14	12.5	202.0	16.83	1.347	13.92	0.99	0.35
 Drew Carter 	CAR 	14	16.0	211.5	17.63	1.102	13.90	0.99	0.35
 Ashley Lelie 	ATL 	14	12.5	200.0	16.67	1.333	13.75	0.98	0.34
 S. Alexander 	SEA 	8	193.0	704.0	58.67	0.304	13.70	1.71	0.34
 R. Droughns 	CLE 	12	194.0	706.5	58.88	0.303	13.67	1.14	0.34
 M. Clayton 	TAM 	12	21.5	224.0	18.67	0.868	13.66	1.14	0.34
 T. Copper 	NOR 	14	11.5	192.5	16.04	1.395	13.36	0.95	0.33
 Charlie Batch 	PIT 	7	33.5	254.0	21.17	0.632	13.36	1.91	0.33
 LaMont Jordan 	OAK 	9	119.0	491.0	40.92	0.344	13.19	1.47	0.33
 Jake Plummer 	DEN 	14	191.5	692.0	57.67	0.301	13.05	0.93	0.33
 Ron Dayne 	HOU 	9	119.0	489.0	40.75	0.342	13.02	1.45	0.33
 Owen Daniels 	HOU 	14	17.0	201.0	16.75	0.985	12.79	0.91	0.32
 V. Jackson 	SDG 	14	9.5	179.0	14.92	1.570	12.70	0.91	0.32
 K. McCardell 	SDG 	12	16.0	197.0	16.42	1.026	12.69	1.06	0.32
 Doug Gabriel 	NWE 	12	12.5	187.0	15.58	1.247	12.67	1.06	0.32
 Brandon Lloyd 	WAS 	14	11.5	182.5	15.21	1.322	12.53	0.89	0.31
 Amani Toomer 	NYG 	8	16.0	195.0	16.25	1.016	12.52	1.57	0.31
 Byron Leftwich JAC 	6	116.5	475.5	39.63	0.340	12.48	2.08	0.31
 D. Williams 	BAL 	14	9.0	173.0	14.42	1.602	12.32	0.88	0.31
 Maurice Morris SEA 	14	150.0	562.0	46.83	0.312	11.88	0.85	0.30
 M. Pittman 	TAM 	14	42.0	260.0	21.67	0.516	11.88	0.85	0.30
 Troy Brown 	NWE 	14	20.0	196.5	16.38	0.819	11.72	0.84	0.29
 Dallas Clark 	IND 	11	13.0	175.5	14.63	1.125	11.60	1.05	0.29
 Kenny Watson 	CIN 	14	32.0	225.0	18.75	0.586	11.29	0.81	0.28
 Josh Reed 	BUF 	11	16.0	180.0	15.00	0.938	11.27	1.02	0.28
 Charlie Frye 	CLE 	13	221.0	752.5	62.71	0.284	11.22	0.86	0.28
 Roscoe Parrish BUF 	14	10.5	163.0	13.58	1.294	11.14	0.80	0.28
 Anthony Thomas BUF 	14	116.0	457.5	38.13	0.329	11.10	0.79	0.28
 Noah Herron 	GNB 	14	50.0	272.5	22.71	0.454	11.06	0.79	0.28
 Ben Utecht 	IND 	13	17.5	181.5	15.13	0.864	11.05	0.85	0.28
 J. Wiggins 	MIN 	14	22.0	193.5	16.13	0.733	11.00	0.79	0.27
 J. Griffith 	ATL 	14	30.0	215.5	17.96	0.599	10.97	0.78	0.27
 Justin Fargas 	OAK 	14	146.0	537.5	44.79	0.307	10.77	0.77	0.27
 N. Davenport 	PIT 	11	63.5	304.5	25.38	0.400	10.58	0.96	0.26
 Dan Campbell 	DET 	14	9.5	153.5	12.79	1.346	10.58	0.76	0.26
 Bryan Gilmore 	SFO 	14	9.5	147.0	12.25	1.289	10.04	0.72	0.25
 M. Bennett 	KAN 	10	38.5	227.5	18.96	0.492	9.99	1.00	0.25
 J. McCareins 	NYJ 	14	8.0	141.5	11.79	1.474	9.93	0.71	0.25
 Greg Lewis 	PHI 	14	9.0	143.5	11.96	1.329	9.86	0.70	0.25
 Peerless Price BUF 	14	24.0	185.0	15.42	0.642	9.82	0.70	0.25
 G. Wrighster 	JAC 	14	17.5	165.0	13.75	0.786	9.67	0.69	0.24
 S. Wallace 	SEA 	7	82.5	345.5	28.79	0.349	9.57	1.37	0.24
 Derek Anderson CLE 	4	48.0	248.0	20.67	0.431	9.48	2.37	0.24
 Billy McMullen MIN 	14	9.5	140.0	11.67	1.228	9.45	0.68	0.24
 Rashied Davis 	CHI 	14	9.5	138.5	11.54	1.215	9.33	0.67	0.23
 Alvis Whitted 	OAK 	14	13.5	149.5	12.46	0.923	9.31	0.67	0.23
 Chris Baker 	NYJ 	14	14.0	150.0	12.50	0.893	9.24	0.66	0.23
 C. Anderson 	OAK 	14	10.5	139.5	11.63	1.107	9.18	0.66	0.23
 Cedric Houston NYJ 	7	97.0	380.0	31.67	0.326	9.07	1.30	0.23
 Eric Johnson 	SFO 	11	16.0	151.0	12.58	0.786	8.86	0.81	0.22
 Mack Strong 	SEA 	14	46.0	233.0	19.42	0.422	8.70	0.62	0.22
 Ike Hilliard 	TAM 	14	14.5	144.0	12.00	0.828	8.62	0.62	0.22
 B. Gradkowski 	TAM 	13	205.0	676.5	56.38	0.275	8.61	0.66	0.22
 B. Marshall 	DEN 	13	7.0	122.0	10.17	1.452	8.54	0.66	0.21
 Brandon Jones 	TEN 	14	10.5	130.0	10.83	1.032	8.39	0.60	0.21
 Malcom Floyd 	SDG 	12	7.5	120.0	10.00	1.333	8.25	0.69	0.21
 Artose Pinner 	MIN 	10	39.0	208.0	17.33	0.444	8.25	0.82	0.21
 Jason Campbell WAS 	5	95.0	363.5	30.29	0.319	8.16	1.63	0.20
 R. Williams 	OAK 	14	12.5	132.5	11.04	0.883	8.13	0.58	0.20
 Tony Scheffler DEN 	11	6.5	113.0	9.42	1.449	7.90	0.72	0.20
 D. Northcutt 	CLE 	12	13.0	130.5	10.88	0.837	7.85	0.65	0.20
 Kurt Warner 	ARI 	5	69.5	288.0	24.00	0.345	7.81	1.56	0.20
 Samkon Gado 	HOU 	8	62.0	267.0	22.25	0.359	7.80	0.98	0.20
 Tim Carter 	NYG 	14	9.5	120.0	10.00	1.053	7.79	0.56	0.19
 Reggie Kelly 	CIN 	14	9.0	118.5	9.88	1.097	7.78	0.56	0.19
 Stephen Davis 	STL 	13	38.5	200.0	16.67	0.433	7.70	0.59	0.19
 Klopfenstein 	STL 	14	10.0	118.0	9.83	0.983	7.50	0.54	0.19
 Trent Green 	KAN 	6	89.5	339.5	28.29	0.316	7.44	1.24	0.19
 Musa Smith 	BAL 	12	47.0	220.5	18.38	0.391	7.42	0.62	0.19
 Jay Cutler 	DEN 	3	49.0	226.0	18.83	0.384	7.42	2.47	0.19
 Robert Royal 	BUF 	14	10.0	116.0	9.67	0.967	7.34	0.52	0.18
 Drew Bledsoe 	DAL 	6	92.5	345.0	28.75	0.311	7.20	1.20	0.18
 Hank Baskett 	PHI 	14	8.0	108.5	9.04	1.130	7.18	0.51	0.18
 Mark Bradley 	CHI 	8	5.0	99.5	8.29	1.658	7.13	0.89	0.18
 Tim Rattay 	TAM 	2	24.0	150.5	12.54	0.523	6.95	3.47	0.17
 Kyle Boller 	BAL 	4	49.5	221.5	18.46	0.373	6.92	1.73	0.17
 Troy Walters 	ARI 	14	11.5	114.5	9.54	0.830	6.86	0.49	0.17
 Vernon Davis 	SFO 	8	7.5	103.0	8.58	1.144	6.84	0.85	0.17
 Bobby Engram 	SEA 	5	10.0	108.0	9.00	0.900	6.67	1.33	0.17
 Steve Heiden 	CLE 	14	16.5	126.0	10.50	0.636	6.66	0.48	0.17
 Nate Burleson 	SEA 	14	8.5	103.5	8.63	1.015	6.64	0.47	0.17
 David Martin 	GNB 	11	10.5	109.0	9.08	0.865	6.64	0.60	0.17
 Daniel Graham 	NWE 	10	8.5	102.5	8.54	1.005	6.56	0.66	0.16
 Kevan Barlow 	NYJ 	11	113.0	394.0	32.83	0.291	6.50	0.59	0.16
 David Tyree 	NYG 	14	8.5	101.0	8.42	0.990	6.44	0.46	0.16
 LenDale White 	TEN 	11	53.0	224.0	18.67	0.352	6.32	0.57	0.16
 Ruvell Martin 	GNB 	11	5.5	90.5	7.54	1.371	6.26	0.57	0.16
 Dante Hall 	KAN 	13	12.5	109.5	9.13	0.730	6.21	0.48	0.16
 Alex Smith 	TAM 	13	15.5	117.5	9.79	0.632	6.18	0.48	0.15
 Chad Jackson 	NWE 	10	8.0	96.5	8.04	1.005	6.18	0.62	0.15
 J. Stevens 	SEA 	9	8.0	96.5	8.04	1.005	6.18	0.69	0.15
 Derek Hagan 	MIA 	14	8.5	95.0	7.92	0.931	5.94	0.42	0.15
 Bryan Fletcher IND 	13	7.5	91.5	7.63	1.017	5.88	0.45	0.15
 David Kircus 	DEN 	14	3.5	79.0	6.58	1.881	5.77	0.41	0.14
 Aaron Stecker 	NOR 	11	12.5	104.0	8.67	0.693	5.75	0.52	0.14
 ReShard Lee 	OAK 	14	23.5	134.5	11.21	0.477	5.73	0.41	0.14
 Ben Troupe 	TEN 	10	6.5	85.0	7.08	1.090	5.57	0.56	0.14
 Bubba Franks 	GNB 	14	10.0	94.5	7.88	0.788	5.55	0.40	0.14
 Nick Goings 	CAR 	10	16.0	110.5	9.21	0.576	5.48	0.55	0.14
 Daniel Wilcox 	BAL 	12	9.0	90.5	7.54	0.838	5.44	0.45	0.14
 S. Alexander 	DEN 	14	9.0	90.0	7.50	0.833	5.40	0.39	0.14
 James Thrash 	WAS 	14	6.0	80.5	6.71	1.118	5.31	0.38	0.13
 Matt Schobel 	PHI 	14	5.0	77.5	6.46	1.292	5.29	0.38	0.13
 Maurice Hicks 	SFO 	14	34.5	157.5	13.13	0.380	5.09	0.36	0.13
 Mike Anderson 	BAL 	14	34.0	156.0	13.00	0.382	5.08	0.36	0.13
 Corey Bradford DET 	8	6.5	79.0	6.58	1.013	5.07	0.63	0.13
 Kris Mangum 	CAR 	13	10.5	90.0	7.50	0.714	5.05	0.39	0.13
 John Madsen 	OAK 	13	5.0	74.5	6.21	1.242	5.04	0.39	0.13
 Ciatrick Fason MIN 	5	18.0	109.0	9.08	0.505	4.89	0.98	0.12
 Verron Haynes 	PIT 	7	24.0	125.5	10.46	0.436	4.87	0.70	0.12
 Ovie Mughelli 	BAL 	14	13.5	95.0	7.92	0.586	4.77	0.34	0.12
 Tim Dwight 	NYJ 	9	10.0	84.0	7.00	0.700	4.67	0.52	0.12
 Shaun McDonald STL 	14	6.5	73.0	6.08	0.936	4.57	0.33	0.11
 Mark Campbell 	NOR 	13	8.5	78.0	6.50	0.765	4.52	0.35	0.11
 Bethel Johnson MIN 	9	7.0	72.5	6.04	0.863	4.41	0.49	0.11
 Aaron Brooks 	OAK 	7	104.0	343.5	28.63	0.275	4.39	0.63	0.11
 Tony Fisher 	STL 	8	13.0	88.5	7.38	0.567	4.35	0.54	0.11
 Cecil Sapp 	DEN 	11	10.0	80.0	6.67	0.667	4.34	0.39	0.11
 Mike Alstott 	TAM 	14	32.0	141.0	11.75	0.367	4.29	0.31	0.11
 Zack Crockett 	OAK 	14	36.0	152.0	12.67	0.352	4.28	0.31	0.11
 K. Washington 	CIN 	5	4.5	62.5	5.21	1.157	4.16	0.83	0.10
 Kevin Walter 	HOU 	14	8.5	72.5	6.04	0.711	4.06	0.29	0.10
 Jabar Gaffney 	NWE 	9	3.5	58.5	4.88	1.393	4.06	0.45	0.10
 Az-Zahir Hakim DET 	6	9.5	74.5	6.21	0.654	3.99	0.67	0.10
 Michael Gaines CAR 	14	7.0	67.0	5.58	0.798	3.95	0.28	0.10
 Brad Hoover 	CAR 	14	28.5	127.0	10.58	0.371	3.94	0.28	0.10
 Sage Rosenfels HOU 	4	23.5	112.5	9.38	0.399	3.90	0.97	0.10
 Marcedes Lewis JAC 	13	5.5	61.5	5.13	0.932	3.84	0.30	0.10
 Alvin Pearman 	JAC 	11	19.0	99.0	8.25	0.434	3.82	0.35	0.10
 Mike Sellers 	WAS 	14	17.0	93.0	7.75	0.456	3.79	0.27	0.09
 T. Jackson 	MIN 	2	16.5	91.0	7.58	0.460	3.74	1.87	0.09
 Kris Wilson 	KAN 	14	6.5	63.0	5.25	0.808	3.74	0.27	0.09
 O. Ayanbadejo 	ARI 	12	10.5	72.0	6.00	0.571	3.55	0.30	0.09
 Chris Brown 	TEN 	5	41.0	156.0	13.00	0.317	3.45	0.69	0.09
 David Givens 	TEN 	5	5.0	55.0	4.58	0.917	3.42	0.68	0.09
 Jason McKie 	CHI 	14	19.5	95.5	7.96	0.408	3.41	0.24	0.09
 B. Manumaleuna SDG 	14	7.0	60.5	5.04	0.720	3.41	0.24	0.09
 Leonard Pope 	ARI 	14	6.5	58.5	4.88	0.750	3.36	0.24	0.08
 Anthony Fasano DAL 	14	6.0	56.5	4.71	0.785	3.31	0.24	0.08
 Adam Bergen 	ARI 	14	7.5	60.5	5.04	0.672	3.29	0.24	0.08
 Tony Stewart 	CIN 	14	5.5	54.5	4.54	0.826	3.26	0.23	0.08
 Ahmard Hall 	TEN 	12	13.0	74.5	6.21	0.478	3.18	0.26	0.08
 Jameel Cook 	HOU 	11	12.0	71.5	5.96	0.497	3.16	0.29	0.08
 Jeb Putzier 	HOU 	12	5.5	53.0	4.42	0.803	3.14	0.26	0.08
 Joshua Cribbs 	CLE 	14	6.5	54.5	4.54	0.699	3.03	0.22	0.08
 B. Stokley 	IND 	4	4.0	47.5	3.96	0.990	3.03	0.76	0.08
 Anthony Becht 	TAM 	14	8.5	60.0	5.00	0.588	3.02	0.22	0.08
 R. Williams 	TEN 	12	3.0	44.5	3.71	1.236	3.01	0.25	0.08
 T. Richardson 	MIN 	9	11.5	67.5	5.63	0.489	2.95	0.33	0.07
 Brad Smith 	NYJ 	14	16.0	80.0	6.67	0.417	2.94	0.21	0.07
 T.J. Duckett 	WAS 	8	30.0	118.0	9.83	0.328	2.84	0.36	0.07
 Marcus Pollard DET 	13	6.0	50.0	4.17	0.694	2.77	0.21	0.07
 Heath Evans 	NWE 	14	25.0	103.0	8.58	0.343	2.76	0.20	0.07
 Billy Miller 	NOR 	8	5.5	48.0	4.00	0.727	2.72	0.34	0.07
 Sam Hurd 	DAL 	13	2.5	37.5	3.13	1.250	2.54	0.20	0.06
 Earnest Graham TAM 	14	6.0	47.0	3.92	0.653	2.52	0.18	0.06
 M. Robinson 	SFO 	14	38.0	136.0	11.33	0.298	2.48	0.18	0.06
 Justin Peelle 	MIA 	13	6.5	47.5	3.96	0.609	2.44	0.19	0.06
 Lorenzo Neal 	SDG 	14	26.0	102.0	8.50	0.327	2.44	0.17	0.06
 Chris Perry 	CIN 	6	10.0	57.0	4.75	0.475	2.42	0.40	0.06
 Jeremi Johnson CIN 	14	14.0	66.0	5.50	0.393	2.24	0.16	0.06
 Cleo Lemon 	MIA 	2	8.0	49.0	4.08	0.510	2.22	1.11	0.06
 A. Peterson 	CHI 	14	7.0	46.0	3.83	0.548	2.20	0.16	0.06
 Chris Weinke 	CAR 	2	47.5	157.5	13.13	0.276	2.06	1.03	0.05
 Marcel Shipp 	ARI 	13	12.0	58.0	4.83	0.403	2.04	0.16	0.05
 Travis Minor 	MIA 	14	19.0	74.0	6.17	0.325	1.74	0.12	0.04
 Itula Mili 	SEA 	10	5.0	34.5	2.88	0.575	1.71	0.17	0.04
 Chad Morton 	NYG 	14	1.0	22.0	1.83	1.833	1.60	0.11	0.04
 C. Whitehurst 	SDG 	2	2.0	23.0	1.92	0.958	1.45	0.73	0.04
 Ryan Moats 	PHI 	7	11.0	47.0	3.92	0.356	1.35	0.19	0.03
 Kyle Johnson 	DEN 	12	5.0	30.0	2.50	0.500	1.34	0.11	0.03
 Damien Nash 	DEN 	3	18.0	66.0	5.50	0.306	1.31	0.44	0.03
 Jason Wright 	CLE 	13	62.0	189.0	15.75	0.254	1.30	0.10	0.03
 Arlen Harris 	DET 	8	29.0	95.0	7.92	0.273	1.16	0.14	0.03
 Andrew Pinnock SDG 	3	4.0	25.0	2.08	0.521	1.15	0.38	0.03
 Matt Turk 	STL 	14	2.0	19.0	1.58	0.792	1.12	0.08	0.03
 John Kuhn 	PIT 	7	2.0	18.0	1.50	0.750	1.03	0.15	0.03
 Mike Karney 	NOR 	13	10.0	40.0	3.33	0.333	1.00	0.08	0.03
 Ryan Longwell 	MIN 	14	0.5	13.0	1.08	2.167	0.97	0.07	0.02
 Brian Griese 	CHI 	4	4.0	22.5	1.88	0.469	0.94	0.24	0.02
 Anthony Wright CIN 	4	1.5	15.5	1.29	0.861	0.94	0.24	0.02
 Gus Frerotte 	STL 	1	1.5	13.5	1.13	0.750	0.78	0.78	0.02
 Lee Suggs 	MIA 	5	6.0	26.0	2.17	0.361	0.77	0.15	0.02
 Devale Ellis 	DET 	7	1.0	12.0	1.00	1.000	0.77	0.11	0.02
 J. Harrison 	CLE 	8	19.0	62.0	5.17	0.272	0.74	0.09	0.02
 B. Bollinger 	MIN 	2	9.0	33.0	2.75	0.306	0.65	0.33	0.02
 Aaron Rodgers 	GNB 	2	9.5	34.0	2.83	0.298	0.62	0.31	0.02
 Aveion Cason 	DET 	4	9.0	32.0	2.67	0.296	0.57	0.14	0.01
 Jon Ryan 	GNB 	14	0.5	8.0	0.67	1.333	0.55	0.04	0.01
 J. Harrington 	MIA 	10	205.5	581.0	48.42	0.236	0.54	0.05	0.01
 M. Jennings 	NYG 	8	2.0	12.0	1.00	0.500	0.53	0.07	0.01
 Matt Cassel 	NWE 	4	3.5	16.0	1.33	0.381	0.52	0.13	0.01
 Ran Carthon 	IND 	3	3.0	14.0	1.17	0.389	0.47	0.16	0.01
 Reggie McNeal 	CIN 	5	1.0	8.0	0.67	0.667	0.43	0.09	0.01
 Ronnie Cruz 	KAN 	5	5.0	19.0	1.58	0.317	0.42	0.08	0.01
 Patrick Pass 	NWE 	3	6.0	21.0	1.75	0.292	0.35	0.12	0.01
 David Akers 	PHI 	14	0.5	5.5	0.46	0.917	0.34	0.02	0.01
 Tyson Thompson DAL 	7	13.0	40.0	3.33	0.256	0.30	0.04	0.01
 A.J. Feeley 	PHI 	1	2.5	10.5	0.88	0.350	0.29	0.29	0.01
 Adam Jones 	TEN 	13	2.0	8.0	0.67	0.333	0.20	0.02	0.01
 A.J. Schable 	ARI 	11	1.0	5.0	0.42	0.417	0.18	0.02	0.00
 Eddie Drummond DET 	13	1.0	4.0	0.33	0.333	0.10	0.01	0.00
 Reno Mahe 	PHI 	10	1.0	4.0	0.33	0.333	0.10	0.01	0.00
 R. Cartwright 	WAS 	14	5.0	15.0	1.25	0.250	0.08	0.01	0.00
 Eric Shelton 	CAR 	8	8.0	23.0	1.92	0.240	0.05	0.01	0.00
 Cedric Cobbs 	DEN 	2	3.0	9.0	0.75	0.250	0.05	0.03	0.00
 Derrick Ross 	KAN 	5	3.0	8.0	0.67	0.222	-0.03	-0.01	0.00
 Marquis Weeks 	SEA 	8	3.0	8.0	0.67	0.222	-0.03	0.00	0.00
 Brian Calhoun 	DET 	7	7.0	19.0	1.58	0.226	-0.05	-0.01	0.00
 Edell Shepherd HOU 	7	2.0	5.0	0.42	0.208	-0.05	-0.01	0.00
 M. Hedgecock 	STL 	14	1.0	2.0	0.17	0.167	-0.07	0.00	0.00
 M. Jackson 	ATL 	1	1.0	2.0	0.17	0.167	-0.07	-0.07	0.00
 Ben Graham 	NYJ 	14	0.5	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.12	-0.01	0.00
 Brian Moorman 	BUF 	14	0.5	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.12	-0.01	0.00
 Jeff Feagles 	NYG 	14	0.5	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.12	-0.01	0.00
 Kellen Clemens NYJ 	2	0.5	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.12	-0.06	0.00
 Mike Scifres 	SDG 	14	0.5	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.12	-0.01	0.00
 Patrick Ramsey NYJ 	1	0.5	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.12	-0.12	0.00
 Lousaka Polite DAL 	10	7.0	18.0	1.50	0.214	-0.13	-0.01	0.00
 Keylon Kincade DAL 	1	4.0	9.0	0.75	0.188	-0.18	-0.18	0.00
 Dirk Johnson 	PHI 	14	1.0	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.23	-0.02	-0.01
 Thomas Tapeh 	PHI 	14	4.0	8.0	0.67	0.167	-0.27	-0.02	-0.01
 Rich Alexis 	JAC 	1	3.0	5.0	0.42	0.139	-0.28	-0.28	-0.01
 Dee Brown 	KAN 	13	6.0	13.0	1.08	0.181	-0.31	-0.02	-0.01
 Shawn Bryson 	DET 	6	2.0	1.0	0.08	0.042	-0.38	-0.06	-0.01
 L. Toefield 	JAC 	3	9.0	20.0	1.67	0.185	-0.43	-0.14	-0.01
 B.J. Askew 	NYJ 	11	6.0	11.0	0.92	0.153	-0.48	-0.04	-0.01
 Terrelle Smith CLE 	14	7.0	13.0	1.08	0.155	-0.55	-0.04	-0.01
 J.J. Arrington ARI 	14	13.0	16.0	1.33	0.103	-1.70	-0.12	-0.04
 D. Blaylock 	NYJ 	4	25.0	44.0	3.67	0.147	-2.16	-0.54	-0.05
 Brett Basanez 	CAR 	1	6.5	-10.0	-0.83	-0.128	-2.35	-2.35	-0.06
 Matt Schaub 	ATL 	14	3.0	-23.5	-1.96	-0.653	-2.66	-0.19	-0.07
 M. Tuiasosopo 	OAK 	2	10.5	-12.0	-1.00	-0.095	-3.45	-1.72	-0.09
 Andrew Walter 	OAK 	11	133.5	330.5	27.54	0.206	-3.56	-0.32	-0.09
 Brodie Croyle 	KAN 	2	3.5	-68.5	-5.71	-1.631	-6.52	-3.26	-0.16
 Kerry Collins 	TEN 	4	45.0	39.5	3.29	0.073	-7.19	-1.80	-0.18
 Chris Simms 	TAM 	3	57.0	34.5	2.88	0.050	-10.41	-3.47	-0.26
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Let's move on to the team rankings. As usual, here's my explanation of how they are calculated: While I'm still predicting net points with the formula PNP = (Net Yards / 12) + (4 * Net Turnovers), and net wins by pNW = (Games / 2) + (PNP / 40), this method will only comprise 37.5% of my rankings. Since net yards don't take into account punt/kickoff/return yardage, teams with good special teams were being undervalued, so I'm also using the good old pythagorean projection:

pW% = (PF^2.37)/((PF^2.37)+(PA^2.37))

Predicted net wins and % are denoted by pW1 and pW%1, and pythagorean wins and % are denoted by pW2 and pW%2. A new feature over the past couple weeks has been the addition of a strength of schedule component. What I used to call "rating" (the average of pW%1 and pW%2) is now referred to as the "raw" rating, while "SOS" is the cumulative winning % of the team's opponents. "New Rating" is now 75% the old "raw" rating, and 25% SOS. (Again, I'm using NFL.com's SOS data, meaning that it ought to be right.)

After a week away from the top spot, San Diego re-claimed their supremacy in the rankings with a convincing 20-9 win over Kansas City. Baltimore slipped to second place, but more because of how the Chargers played than any wrongdoings on the Ravens' part. Da Bears held steady at #3, while New England passed Jacksonville for fourth after the latter lost to Tennessee. Here's how the full rankings look after Week 15:

Team Rankings (sorted by New Rating):

Rk Prv	Team			G  	Off	Def	Give	Take	NetYds	NetTO	PNP	pW1	pW%1	PF	PA	pW2	pW%2	Raw	SOS	NewRtg
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  2	San Diego Chargers 	14	5113	4067	14	25	1046	11	131.2	10.3	0.734	445	266	10.8	0.772	0.753	0.459	0.680
2  1	Baltimore Ravens 	14	4386	3721	19	34	665	15	115.4	9.9	0.706	303	187	10.6	0.758	0.732	0.469	0.666
3  3	Chicago Bears 		14	4529	4006	30	42	523	12	91.6	9.3	0.664	394	208	11.5	0.820	0.742	0.434	0.665
4  5	New England Patriots 	14	4596	4029	27	31	567	4	63.3	8.6	0.613	321	193	10.8	0.770	0.691	0.505	0.645
5  4	Jacksonville Jaguars 	14	4687	3784	21	21	903	0	75.3	8.9	0.634	320	215	10.1	0.720	0.677	0.515	0.636
6  6	Dallas Cowboys 		14	5206	4377	23	29	829	6	93.1	9.3	0.666	387	288	9.4	0.668	0.667	0.464	0.616
7  8	Indianapolis Colts 	14	5352	4608	17	25	744	8	94.0	9.4	0.668	376	311	8.5	0.611	0.639	0.531	0.612
8  7	New Orleans Saints 	14	5608	4462	21	16	1146	-5	75.5	8.9	0.635	362	284	9.0	0.640	0.637	0.459	0.593
9  11	Pittsburgh Steelers 	14	4992	4151	32	26	841	-6	46.1	8.2	0.582	323	267	8.6	0.611	0.597	0.485	0.569
10 10	Philadelphia Eagles 	14	5284	4670	22	25	614	3	63.2	8.6	0.613	351	304	8.2	0.584	0.599	0.474	0.567
11 9	Cincinnati Bengals 	14	4824	4912	20	27	-88	7	20.7	7.5	0.537	333	284	8.3	0.593	0.565	0.531	0.557
12 13	New York Giants 	14	4717	4727	25	26	-10	1	3.2	7.1	0.506	314	304	7.3	0.519	0.512	0.536	0.518
13 12	Miami Dolphins 		14	4353	3902	24	25	451	1	41.6	8.0	0.574	228	243	6.5	0.462	0.518	0.515	0.517
14 14	Minnesota Vikings 	14	4546	4068	29	33	478	4	55.8	8.4	0.600	254	277	6.3	0.449	0.524	0.480	0.513
15 17	Denver Broncos 		14	4339	4520	25	25	-181	0	-15.1	6.6	0.473	272	256	7.5	0.536	0.504	0.526	0.510
16 15	Kansas City Chiefs 	14	4456	4558	22	24	-102	2	-0.5	7.0	0.499	276	276	7.0	0.500	0.500	0.520	0.505
17 18	St. Louis Rams 		14	4772	4733	17	29	39	12	51.3	8.3	0.592	289	329	5.9	0.424	0.508	0.464	0.497
18 16	Atlanta Falcons 	14	4755	4738	17	25	17	8	33.4	7.8	0.560	272	294	6.4	0.454	0.507	0.444	0.491
19 20	New York Jets 		14	4301	4844	24	22	-543	-2	-53.3	5.7	0.405	280	282	6.9	0.496	0.450	0.510	0.465
20 22	Buffalo Bills 		14	3650	4550	24	23	-900	-1	-79.0	5.0	0.359	264	262	7.1	0.505	0.432	0.556	0.463
21 23	Washington Redskins 	14	4514	4754	14	11	-240	-3	-32.0	6.2	0.443	248	305	5.3	0.380	0.411	0.520	0.439
22 19	Carolina Panthers 	14	4416	4263	27	18	153	-9	-23.3	6.4	0.458	229	281	5.3	0.381	0.420	0.474	0.433
23 24	Green Bay Packers 	14	4766	4714	29	26	52	-3	-7.7	6.8	0.486	266	352	4.8	0.340	0.413	0.480	0.430
24 21	Seattle Seahawks 	14	4319	4658	31	24	-339	-7	-56.3	5.6	0.400	295	314	6.5	0.463	0.431	0.418	0.428
25 25	Tennessee Titans 	14	4072	5133	23	26	-1061	3	-76.4	5.1	0.364	271	331	5.4	0.384	0.374	0.571	0.423
26 26	Arizona Cardinals 	14	4184	4981	28	30	-797	2	-58.4	5.5	0.396	268	342	5.0	0.359	0.378	0.474	0.402
27 29	San Francisco 49ers 	14	4277	4810	29	23	-533	-6	-68.4	5.3	0.378	252	363	4.1	0.296	0.337	0.490	0.375
28 28	Detroit Lions 		14	4260	4811	37	26	-551	-11	-89.9	4.8	0.339	245	341	4.4	0.314	0.326	0.500	0.370
29 27	Houston Texans 		14	3932	4775	24	18	-843	-6	-94.3	4.6	0.332	226	336	3.9	0.281	0.306	0.526	0.361
30 30	Cleveland Browns 	14	3740	4983	35	24	-1243	-11	-147.6	3.3	0.236	225	320	4.2	0.303	0.270	0.566	0.344
31 31	Oakland Raiders 	14	3423	3999	38	22	-576	-16	-112.0	4.2	0.300	156	289	2.6	0.188	0.244	0.536	0.317
32 32	Tampa Bay Buccaneers 	14	3679	4740	28	15	-1061	-13	-140.4	3.5	0.249	182	323	2.9	0.204	0.227	0.566	0.312
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Here are my odds on Week 16's games:

A-B	Team A%	Team B%	OddsA	Home	A	B	Favorite
--------------------------------------------------------------------
GB-MIN	0.430	0.513	41.7%	5.8%	47.5%	52.5%	Minnesota
OAK-KC	0.317	0.505	31.3%	5.8%	37.1%	62.9%	Kansas City
STL-WSH	0.497	0.439	55.8%	5.8%	61.6%	38.4%	St. Louis
BUF-TEN	0.463	0.423	54.0%	5.8%	59.8%	40.2%	Buffalo
CLE-TB	0.344	0.312	53.6%	5.8%	59.4%	40.6%	Cleveland
NYG-NO	0.518	0.593	42.4%	5.8%	48.2%	51.8%	New Orleans
JAX-NE	0.636	0.645	49.0%	5.8%	54.8%	45.2%	Jacksonville
HOU-IND	0.361	0.612	26.4%	5.8%	32.2%	67.8%	Indianapolis
DET-CHI	0.370	0.665	22.8%	5.8%	28.6%	71.4%	Chicago
ATL-CAR	0.491	0.433	55.8%	5.8%	61.6%	38.4%	Atlanta
PIT-BAL	0.569	0.666	39.8%	5.8%	45.6%	54.4%	Baltimore
SF-ARZ	0.375	0.402	47.2%	5.8%	53.0%	47.0%	San Francisco
DEN-CIN	0.510	0.557	45.3%	5.8%	51.1%	48.9%	Denver
SEA-SD	0.428	0.680	26.0%	5.8%	31.8%	68.2%	San Diego
DAL-PHI	0.616	0.567	55.1%	5.8%	60.9%	39.1%	Dallas... no, wait -- for Christof, Philly
MIA-NYJ	0.517	0.465	55.2%	5.8%	61.0%	39.0%	Miami
--------------------------------------------------------------------

Well, that's all. From me to you and yours, Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!!!! Oh, and happy football-watching!

See also:

  • 2006 NFL Capsules: Introduction ("NFL at the Movies")
  • Davis21wylie's Week 14 NFL Team Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 13 NFL Team Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 12 NFL Team Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 10 NFL Team Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 9 NFL Player and Team Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 8 NFL Team Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 7 NFL Player -- And Team! -- Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 6 NFL Player -- And Team! -- Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 5 NFL Player Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 4 NFL Player Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 3 NFL Player Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 2 NFL Player Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 1 NFL Player Rankings
Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
ChristofMVP
656 days ago
Score 0+-
Take the Eagles in this week's game.
Permalink | Reply
Davis21wylieAll-Star
656 days ago
Score 0+-
As a Christmas gift to you (in addition to my Ryan Howard projection), I'll do just that. :)
Permalink
Davis21wylieAll-Star
656 days ago
Score 0+-
Now I've ensured that the Dallas fans will hurl snowballs at Santa...
Permalink
PeanMajor Leaguer
655 days ago
Score 1+-
you know what this article is missing? A really large, oversized poster of Atlantic City...j/k..great work as always
Permalink | Reply
Josh Q. PublicVarsity
655 days ago
Score 0+-
any system that has damon huard ahead of tom brady must be flawed
Permalink | Reply
Davis21wylieAll-Star
655 days ago
Score 0+-
I guess you don't like the NFL's Quarterback Rating, either...
Permalink
Bball3345Draft Pick
655 days ago
Score 1+-
Unless you actually look at the statistics, then you can probably see why a system would do that.
Permalink
Anonymous Fanatic #1
655 days ago
Score 0+-
i'm just saying
Permalink | Reply
Davis21wylieAll-Star
655 days ago
Score 2+-
The worst part is that Brady is my favorite player, and I'd never claim that Huard is a better quarterback than him. But Huard has, by any standard, played better than Brady this year:
Name  		Team  	G   QBRat  Comp  Att  Pct   Yds   Y/G   Y/A  TD  Int  Pts/Play  PAR   PAR/G
Damon Huard 	KAN 	9   97.6   146 	 241  60.6  1824  202.7 7.6  11  1    .602!     47.83  1.20
Tom Brady 	NWE 	14  86.1   276 	 453  60.9  3055  218.2 6.7  22  12   .387      40.83  1.02
Would I rather have Brady as my QB? In a heartbeat. But Huard had better production, and that's what my system measures -- statistical production, not necessarily ability.
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
655 days ago
Score 1+-
How are the Redskins and Packers better than the Titans?
Permalink | Reply
Davis21wylieAll-Star
655 days ago
Score 0+-
Good question. The rankings measure performance over the entire season, meaning that the Kerry Collins era and Vince Young's early foibles are weighted just as heavily as the Titans' recent successes. If we were talking about recent games, sure, they'd rank higher. But it would require some kind of arbitrary weighting technique, which I don't really want to get into at this point.
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
654 days ago
Score 0+-
but the packers?
Permalink
Davis21wylieAll-Star
654 days ago
Score 0+-
Going into tonight's game, GB actually had positive net yardage, so they score better than Tenn. by the predicted net points component. However, their special teams has been so bad that their point differential is -86 -- and we'd expect them to be only -8, based on their net yards and TO differential. What really hurts Tenn. is that they were dominated so badly in the first quarter of the season... their net yds is a ghastly -1061. If they keep playing this well, they could move into the Top 20, but they'll have to keep earning it to overcome that shaky start -- and we can't just throw out those bad Kerry Collins/inexperienced V.Y. games at the beginning of the season.
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
654 days ago
Score 0+-
Update: The line provided by this is 0-1. But who could have guessed Gb defeats MN 9-7?
Permalink | Reply
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This page was last modified 23:05, 20 December 2006. Content is available under the GFDL.

Categories: Opinions | NFL Opinions | LaDainian Tomlinson Opinions | Frank Gore Opinions | Peyton Manning Opinions | Larry Johnson Opinions | Drew Brees Opinions | Marc Bulger Opinions | Donovan McNabb Opinions | Tony Romo Opinions | Chad Johnson Opinions | Javon Walker Opinions | Marvin Harrison Opinions | Reggie Wayne Opinions | Baltimore Ravens Opinions | San Diego Chargers Opinions | Chicago Bears Opinions | New England Patriots Opinions | December 20, 2006 | Opinions by User Davis21wylie

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