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Kelsdad
Named ArmchairGM Beat Reporter of the Year for 2007

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Minor League Prospect Report: The not so Top Prospects

by Kelsdad
created June 24, 2008, last edited July 01, 2008
15
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In my first installment last week, I provided updates on each organizations top Minor League Prospect, who was actually in the minors. While most teams top prospects are still on the farm learning their craft, some organizations, like Cincinnati, have their top four currently flying private charters.

Today, I'll mention a few guys who are either mid-level prospects, or not prospects at all, who are performing either above or below expectations.

Josh Vitters: In last weeks article, I mentioned the 18 year old Vitters, the Chicago Cubs top prospect, was on the disabled list. He had played just four games with Class A Peoria before being hurt. Vitters was activated last week and is currently playing with Lo Class A Boise of the Northwest League. In seven games, he is hitting .345/0/4, including a 3-6 performance with two RBI last night in a 4-1 victory over Burlington. More importantly, Vitters is playing defense, alternating between third and short.  The Cubs also promoted one of their top pitching prospects, righthander Jeff Samardzija, to Triple A Iowa, where he will make his debut tonite against Albuquerque.

Jake Arietta: Arrietta, a 21 year old righthander with the Baltimore Orioles, is absolutely dominating the advanced Class A League. Pitching for the Frederick Keys, Arietta is 5-3 with 2.88 ERA, allowing just 58 hits in 84.1 innings and racking up 85 strikeouts. These numbers are even more impressive when taken into the context that Arietta has struggled a bit of late, losing his last three decisions and posting a 5.07 ERA.

Future 20/40 player in Denver
Future 20/40 player in Denver

Dexter Fowler: Fowler, a switch-hitting CF with Colorado's Double A franchise in Tulsa, has been on a tear recently, hitting .366 in his last ten games. Overall for the season, Fowler is at .314/7/45, with 15 stolen bases, and posting an .888 OPS. With the parent Rockies expected to begin a roster purge shortly, it's not outside the realm of possibility that Fowler could skip Triple A and find himself patrolling CF in the major leagues.

Joe Koshansky: Off and on Colorado's prospect list the past couple seasons, Koshansky, a 25 year old lefty swinging and hitting first baseman, has once again forced himself into the forefront of the Rockies re-building plans. Koshansky is currently raking it at .297/18/74, his 74 RBI's and 29 doubles lead the Pacific Coast League. His SLG is fifth in the league, and his OBP of .373 ranks fourth. As with Fowler, Koshansky may find himself handling the right corner in Colorado if incumbent former star Todd Helton agrees to move on.

Milwaukee's in the National League, bro, got to catch the ball too
Milwaukee's in the National League, bro, got to catch the ball too

Mat Gamel: Gamel, the Milwaukee Brewers sixth ranked prospect at the beginning of the season, currently leads the Double A Southern League in hitting at .371. Well over .380 most of the season, a recent 2-21 slump dropped his average to below .370, a 3-4 performance this past Sunday, which included his 15th homer of the season, pushed him back over the .370 mark. Gamel's 24 doubles rank second in the league, as does his .432 OBP. His 65 rbi's lead the league, and while he has surprised the Brewers with his consistency, it is his defense which is holding him back. While somewhat improved over last season, Gamel has made 19 errors at 3B, comfortably leading the league. Despite his offensive showing, and despite winning Minor League Player of the Month for May, Gamel's stock has not risen significantly in the organization, and excepting a September courtesy callup, he will remain in Huntsville all season.

Aaron Hicks: Hicks was the Minnesota Twins first round pick in this years draft. A 6'2" 170 pound switchhitting CF, Hicks made his pro debut on Sunday, going 2-4 in the Twins Gulf Coast (Rookie) League team's 9-2 loss to the Red Sox.

Fernando Martinez: Another top prospect (New York Mets) who had been on the DL recently, Martinez began a rehab assignment for the Mets Rookie League team in Port St. Lucie, going 1-3 as the designated hitter on Sunday.

Better right now than Melky
Better right now than Melky

Austin Jackson and Jose Tabata: Two of the Yankees prized outfield prospects are heading in the opposite direction of late. Tabata has twice been suspended for disciplinary reasons, the first time in late April. Following a strikeout which dropped his average below .200, Tabata returned to the dugout, went to the clubhouse and removed his uniform. Trenton manager Tony Franklin promptly suspended Tabata for three games. On May 29th, Franklin removed Tabata from a game, for unspecified reasons, with another suspension following, this time for five games. For the season, Tabata is hitting .232/2/29 with ten stolen bases. Jackson, on the other hand, hitting .333/4/8 in his last ten games, raising his overall numbers to .282/7/45.

Steve Pearce: The Pirates top offensive prospect, Pearce got off to a slow start this year, with his average hovering around the Mendoza line on June first. Since then, he's raked at a .312 clip, includin a .325 run his last ten games. His 23 doubles are second in the International League, and has shown a dramatic improvement at the plate, as he has struck out just 45 times in 72 games. Pearce, moved to rightfield from first base in the Arizona Fall League in 2007, has recently moved back to 1B, speculating the Pirates have accelerated talks on moving the unproductive and drastically overpaid Adam LaRoche.

Sorry, Manny, dude's gonna be a stud!
Sorry, Manny, dude's gonna be a stud!

Reid Brignac: Brignac, Tampa's top position prospect now that Evan Longoria has reached the majors, has run hot and cold in his first full season of Triple A ball. Brignac started slowly, got so hot he raised his batting average almost forty points in just two and a half weeks, has slumped since the middle of June, including two seperate 0-13 streaks. Brignac is now at .269 after his 0-3 performance last night, but his 24 doubles continue to lead the league, and he has begun to drive the ball, as his seven homers attest. Brignac has made just seven errors in 69 games, with three of those errors coming on a wet field earlier this season in Durham.

Jeremy Hellickson: With due respect to David Price, Wade Davis and Jake McGee, the top pitcher in the Rays system year to date is Jeremy Hellickson. Pitching for Class A Vero Beach, Hellikson threw seven inning of one hit, shutout ball on Sunday, lowering his ERA to 2.00 and raising his won-lost record to 7-1. He has allowed 64 hits in 76.2 innings with a ridiculous 83-5 strikeout to walk ratio. Hellickson is 21, 6'1" 185 and was the Rays fourth round pick in the 2005 draft, and entered this season as the Rays ninth rated prospect.

Kelsdad provides the Minor League Beat Reports exclusively for ArmchairGM


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Niteowl049AAA-er
108 days ago
Score 0+-
Koshansky deserves a chance. Helton has only homered once since the end of May. Spillborghs has 24 RBI's in 144 at bats while it has taken Helton 273 at bats to have 28 RBI's. He is slugging .396 the lowest of his career. His .271 batting average is the worst of his career. This is first season since 1999 that his OBP has been below .400. This could be the fifth straight year his home run totals have been lower than the preceding year. So why not call up Koshansky?
Permalink | Reply
Niteowl049AAA-er
108 days ago
Score 1+-
Pearce can do no worse than LaRoche and probably a lot better. Five Pirates have more than his 7 homers and 5 more have more than his 28 RBI's.He does lead the team in the negative stat of strikeouts with 63. His .295 OBP is 10th on the team if you don't count the pitchers with better OBP's. If you count them he is 12th. Counting pitchers he is 10th in slugging with a .354 percentage. His .217 average is 16th on the team. Steve Pearce will surely do better than these mediocre numbers.
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Steel TownAll-American
108 days ago
Score 1+-
I don't understand why this hasn't been done yet.
Permalink
Niteowl049AAA-er
108 days ago
Score 0+-
Am surprised Gamel is not getting more attention for hitting over .370 even if he is still making a lot of errors. I guess he is on the slow track to the majors with a Triple A stop before making the team later next season. Will be interesting to see if Brewers call him up in September.
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CoreyisarealboyMajor Leaguer
108 days ago
Score 2+-
With his defense, it'd be hard to see them bring him up for any other reason than an extra bat. Can't have that kind of liability when you're in the playoff race.
Permalink
Manny StilesAAA-er
108 days ago
Score 1+-
"Sorry?" abot Brignac? I said I HOPED I was wrong!!

I had recieved an explanation this Spring that his AFL numbers were tainted because they had him specifically sitting on breaking pitches and trying to go oppo. Which helps explain why his stats SUCKED and why he looked BAD too often...

Don't believe me? I have at least 20 video clips of his at bats popping out or striking out, one fly out and ZERO base hits...



I have no doubt he has the MLB glove, but - only based on what I saw in Fall Ball - something looked wrong with him. I now know what that "something" was!!
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
108 days ago
Score 1+-
I told you that, it's OK if you don't consider me a credible source. No hard feelings.
Permalink
Niteowl049AAA-er
108 days ago
Score 0+-
Gamel may never play for Brewers. With Braun, Hart and Cameron in the outfield they don't have a place for him. Brewers may have to trade him to get someone to replace Sheets if Sheets signs with another team.
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
108 days ago
Score 1+-
Gamel is a third baseman, Niteowl.
Permalink
Falcon02520Legend
108 days ago
Score 3+-
No, Gamel is a designated hitter pretending to be a third baseman...
Permalink
AKittellVarsity
108 days ago
Score 1+-
Gamel is still being pinned by the Brewers infield instructors as a future third baseman on this team. But if Gamel really is two more years out, I wouldn't be surprised to see him move to first, Hart to center, LaPorta to right and Prince Fielder to an AL team.
Permalink
KelsdadAll-Star
108 days ago
Score 1+-
I could see Gamel maybe sliding to first, but not LaPorta to right. He could play there for a week or so if someone got hurt, but he has neither the range or arm to play there full time.
Permalink
Niteowl049AAA-er
108 days ago
Score 0+-
Another thing is that the Brewers need to make room for LaPorta too...can't see LaPorta and Gamel both making it as starters for the Brewers anytime soon.
Permalink | Reply
Niteowl049AAA-er
108 days ago
Score 0+-
Knew Gamel was third baseman but Hall is already there. That is why I mentioned the outfield.
Permalink | Reply
Falcon02520Legend
108 days ago
Score 2+-
Great stuff KD. I get excited when I realize that I know about half these guys. I learned some things about the other half today. Thanks...
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
108 days ago
Score 2+-
No prob, Falc. Message me anytime if you want some info on a player.
Permalink | Reply
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Kelsdad | June 24, 2008 | June 2008 | Josh Vitters Opinions | Chicago Cubs Opinions | Jeff Samardzija Opinions | Jake Arietta Opinions | Baltimore Orioles Opinions | Dexter Fowler Opinions | Colorado Rockies Opinions | Mat Gamel Opinions | Milwaukee Brewers Opinions | Joe Koshansky Opinions | Aaron Hicks Opinions | Minnesota Twins Opinions | Fernando Martinez Opinions | New York Mets Opinions | New York Yankees Opinions | Austin Jackson Opinions | Jose Tabata Opinions | Tony Franklin Opinions | Steve Pearce Opinions | Pittsburgh Pirates Opinions | Reid Brignac Opinions | Jeremy Hellickson Opinions | Tampa Bay Rays Opinions | Minor League Prospect Reports Opinions | Beat Reports Opinions

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