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Afraidofedhochuli
Voted 2007 ArmchairGM User's choice for "Best NFL Coverage"

http://www.afraidofedhochuli.com

Because thanks to our fear of death in this country, I won't have to die...I'll pass away... - George Carlin

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Matt’s 2008 NFL Mock Draft

by Afraidofedhochuli
created February 20, 2008, last edited March 28, 2008
19
Vote

From: http://www.afraidofedhochuli.com

I am not a Draft “guru” and never have I professed to be. I am, however, good with numbers.  

There are too many guys out there that are considered “draftable” for a guy who works in an office and only gets about 3 hours a day (between breaks and home time) to do the research needed.  

Who will go #1?
Who will go #1?

So, what did I do?  

I took 6 different “experts” and averaged their Draft Position.  

The 6 are: Sports Illustrated (Don Banks), ESPN (Todd McShay),   CBS Sportsline  (Sports X-Change and Pete Prisco, NFLDraftdog.com and Rivals.com.  

After I averaged these I went through and took a look at need. I figured that a lot of these teams would take talent over need in the first round (which is the usual case). For example: My math said that the Vikings would take a first round RB again…I really have no inkling that that will happen, so I adjusted.

(*- denotes that the order will be decided by a coin-flip)

This is what I came up with.  

#1 – Miami Dolphins Matt Ryan - QB - Boston College They NEED a QB and Ryan is the best one in the draft. Don’t be surprised to see the Dolphins trade down, though.  

#2 – St. Louis Rams Chris Long - DE – Virginia Their offense disappeared over the last few years, but their defense disappeared a long time ago. It is time for the Rams to get someone who can rush the QB, especially in a division where they will be going up against Walter Jones, Mike Gandy and Jonas Jennings.  

#3 – Atlanta Falcons* Glenn Dorsey - DT – LSU This was a good defense a few years ago, but now it is porous and gets little to no pass rush.  

#4 – Oakland Raiders* Jake Long - OT – Michigan Robert Gallery was a bust, so they need someone that can come in and compete with him for a starting line job. Some people have Long going first to the Dolphins, and the Raiders are hoping that isn’t the case.  

#5 – Kansas City Chiefs* Darren McFadden - RB – Arkansas Can you say steal? If McFadden falls to #5 the Chiefs will take him in an instant. He has the ability to be a star in this league, and if the Chiefs draft him he will have the right line to learn behind.  

#6 – New York Jets Sedrick Ellis - DT - USC The Jets were so close a few years ago and a top-tier DT will help them get better and better.  

#7 – New England Patriots (From 49ers) Vernon Gholston - DE - Ohio St. I am still mad that they have this pick, but the Pats know what they will take.  

#8 – Baltimore Ravens Brian Brohm - QB – Louisville Another team that needs a QB. This might be a reach for them, but Brohm will help out whichever team he goes to.  

#9 – Cincinnati Bengals Derrick Harvey - DE – Florida The Bengals need a Defensive star. They have been able to put up points but have NOT been able to stop anyone.  

#10 – New Orleans Saints Mike Jenkins - CB - South Florida Two Words: Jason David. ‘Nuff said.  

#11 – Buffalo Bills Malcolm Kelly - WR – Oklahoma Lee Evans needs someone to take away the double-team. If they can get a solid #2 in the draft it will help out the entire WR core.  

#12 – Denver Broncos Ryan Clady - OT - Boise State Time to rebuild the line.  

#13 – Carolina Panthers DeSean Jackson - WR – Cal This is much like the Bills. They need someone who can catch that is NOT named Steve Smith.  

#14 – Chicago Bears Rashard Mendenhall - RB – Illinois This might be way off, but Cedrick Benson has yet to show he wa worth the pick they spent on him in 2005.  

#15 – Detroit Lions Leodis McKelvin - CB – Troy Just like the Bengals, the Lions have lost it on the Defensive side.  

#16 – Arizona Cardinals Jonathan Stewart - RB – Oregon Edge is stilling playing well, but they need to start weaning his replacement. Stewart is that guy.  

#17 – Minnesota Vikings Phillip Merling - DE – Clemson My formula said they would take Stewart, but that would be ridiculous. Imagine the Vikings with an even more powerful pass rush!  

#18 – Houston Texans Aqib Talib - CB – Kansas Houston needs a RB but at this point it would be a reach to take anyone else. They could take Felix Jones, but it is more likely they take the best available player.  

#19 – Philadelphia Eagles Chris Williams - OT – Vanderbilt The tackles are both over 30 and that is the time to start building up their replacements.  

#20 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mario Manningham - WR – Michigan Galloway can’t do it on his own anymore. Ike Hilliard is old. They need a #1 WR of the future and Manningham is that guy.  

#21 – Washington Redskins Calais Campbell - DE - Miami (Fla.) Andre Carter was solid (10.5 sacks) but Phillip Daniels’ age of 34 has caught up to him. And isn’t that the point of the draft?  

#22 – Dallas Cowboys (From Cleveland) Jeff Otah - OT – Pittsburgh I don’t expect the Cowboys to have this position. They have two 1st-rounders and I could see them using them to move up or down. If they are hear the best option is to add some depth and youth to their Offensive Tackles.  

#23 – Pittsburgh Steelers Dan Connor - ILB - Penn State Is it just me or has Pittsburgh become for Linebackers what Dallas is for QBs? This guy would be lucky to learn from these guys.  

#24 – Tennessee Titans Kentwan Balmer - DT - North Carolina They may go Offense (picking up a WR or lineman) but they need someone to complement Albert Haynesworth. A one-two punch can help any Defense.  

#25 – Seattle Seahawks Felix Jones - RB – Arkansas This was hard, because I think they will take Fred Davis from USC. But my math told me that they would take Felix Jones and they need a RB, so…I have to go with it.  

#26 – Jacksonville Jaguars Limas Sweed - WR – Texas The Jags didn’t have a WR get over 700 yards last season. It may be time to call a spade a spade and go for an ACTUAL receiver.  

#27 – San Diego Chargers Kenny Phillips - S - Miami (Fla.) Think about this: In 5 years they could have a secondary that is based around Eric Weddle, Antonio Cromartie and Kenny Phillips.  

#28 – Dallas Cowboys Antoine Cason - CB - Arizona Again, I don’t think they will have this. But it is time to start restocking the secondary.  

#29 – San Fransisco 49ers Keith Rivers - OLB – USC The Bay-Area loves this. Willis and Rivers would be a deadly combination.  

#30 – Green Bay Packers Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie - CB - Tenn. State I love Charles Woodson and Al Harris but they are over 30 and over the next few years will show a lot of dropping off.  

#31 – New England Patriots Forfeited  

#32 – New York Giants Brandon Flowers - CB - Virginia Tech The Secondary aged before our eyes. They were able to slap a few band-aids on the problem and win the Superbowl, but the secondary WILL be looked at this off-season.     Again, I am not a genius, but why couldn’t this happen?


Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
Behbigben15Major Leaguer
236 days ago
Score 1+-
How about spacing it out a little???
Permalink | Reply
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
236 days ago
Score 1+-
working on it!
Permalink
Behbigben15Major Leaguer
236 days ago
Score 1+-
Ha, I beat you to it, hopefully that's what you wanted.
Permalink
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
236 days ago
Score 2+-
that totally works
Permalink
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
236 days ago
Score 1+-
thanks ben!
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
236 days ago
Score 1+-
Lions will select Limas Sweed...count on it.
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
236 days ago
Score 4+-
Well Matt, I'll give you some serious credit...I'll bet come April you're gonna look a lot smarter for suggesting the eagles take a O-lineman in the 1st than 90% of the other experts

That being said, I think if a DB is available, they'll go there first...but there may not be one...

Additionally, the tackles are old and Thomas and Runyan are nearing the ends of their contracts as well...and while Justice looked awesome against the giants, I believe the eagles are willing to stick with him for a while and perhaps draft project OLs later in the draft...

but this is much more likely than a receiver...mark it down
Permalink | Reply
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
236 days ago
Score 1+-
Thanks for the Kudos.

I looked at their depth chart and they NEED a Tackle. There are so many solid OL on the board this year that it would be stupid not too.

I really think that any team needs to start working on getting younger when anyone gets near 30.
Permalink
DNLLegend
236 days ago
Score 5+-
If a QB goes #1, I'll give you $5. The QBs in this draft are awful. The best one is probably Joe Flacco... who may go round 3.
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
236 days ago
Score 0+-
I watched him play NU a few months ago...and granted it was only one game, but I wasn't terribly impressed...he seems to have happy feet but yes, this years QBs are poor by comparison... of course the QB heavy '99 draft only produced McNabb and ....ugh...daunte culpepper...
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
236 days ago
Score 0+-
and yes, i watched a Northeastern U football game on TV...sue me...
Permalink
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
235 days ago
Score 0+-
I agree. As I said a lot of this was done by average position based on other sites. I am unable to follow too much of it.
Permalink
CheezerMajor Leaguer
235 days ago
Score 1+-
Angelo is blowing smoke about taking Flacco in the 2nd round.
Permalink
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
235 days ago
Score 1+-
how about htis? if a QB goes number 1...i get an Armchair t-shirt...
Permalink
TehLokiVarsity
236 days ago
Score 1+-
I swear to God, if I see another draft with Brohm or Ryan ahead of Woodson, I'll cry. Brohm is overrated and Ryan hos a low ceiling.
Permalink | Reply
SSreportersLegend
236 days ago
Score 1+-
I have to say, this has got to be the weakest QB draft I've ever seen. Brohm, Flacco, Woodson, Ryan, Brennan. No.
Permalink
TehLokiVarsity
236 days ago
Score 1+-
I'm not denying how weak it is. BUt if I had to choose my franchise QB, it'd be Woodsen. Highest potential.
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
236 days ago
Score 0+-
i like woodson too...he does have his own issues... if you were the GM of a QB needing team, you're also going to play your cards close to the vest and see how low you can get him...
Permalink
TehLokiVarsity
236 days ago
Score 1+-
I agree Jut. You know most teams are putting Brohm on top of their QB wishlist. IF you need a QB and have a high pick, trade down and get more pickls and hope for woodsen mid round
Permalink
Tyrone BriggsHall of Famer
236 days ago
Score 0+-
No way Parcells drafts a QB from this draft. Not with the first pick anyways.
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
236 days ago
Score 2+-
Cardinals will not draft an offensive player unless its a lineman, they need more help on the Dline and at linebacker.
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
236 days ago
Score 0+-
yeah...i think they'd be more apt to lean on JJ Arrington (not that its a good choice, but)
Permalink
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
235 days ago
Score 0+-
you would hope...
Permalink
KelsdadAll-Star
236 days ago
Score 0+-
Nice effort Hoch, alot of research and presented well. Props, man.
Permalink | Reply
FightingchancefantasyJV Squad
236 days ago
Score 1+-
I'm hoping the Niners take a WR, the offense is putrid to watch! What they really need is a new QB, but thanks to the fact that rookies sign such huge contracts, Alex Smith will be dragging us down for years.
Permalink | Reply
PSU ROCKSVarsity Captain
235 days ago
Score 1+-
Its hard to say who the Dolphins will take they need a player in alot of spots. That team really needs to rebuild anyone from your first five picks could be taken by the Dolphins
Permalink | Reply
OneflydudeAll-American
235 days ago
Score 1+-
My goodness! You've learned how to use the English language properly PSU. That was the most intelligent sounding statement that I've ever seen you type.
Permalink
TylersaltAll-Star
235 days ago
Score 1+-
The biggest rumor I've heard is that the Cowboys will try to trade up (maybe to #1 with the Fins) to take McFadden -- Jerry Jones is an Arkansas alum...
Permalink | Reply
TylersaltAll-Star
235 days ago
Score 1+-
Oh, and THANK YOU for saying that the Redskins need to draft a pass rusher. If they don't draft a lineman (offensive or defensive) in the first round, I might scream.
Permalink | Reply
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
235 days ago
Score 0+-
No prob. THat is actually one of the ones that I moved. They had a WR or something after my math and i said that would be stupid when line is needed.
Permalink
Anonymous Fanatic #1
235 days ago
Score 0+-
I would like the Giants pick of Flowers.
Permalink | Reply
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
235 days ago
Score 0+-
that is one that I really hope happens. The guy is good. i am able to folow some :)
Permalink
CheezerMajor Leaguer
235 days ago
Score 2+-
I don't think that the Dolphins will be able to move down. Trading requires a partner and the last few years have shown us that few teams are willing to move up. The reward of that #1 pick is not enough to offset the risk (bust, injury, etc.) that a team takes and the great expense they incur to sign him.
Permalink | Reply
CheezerMajor Leaguer
235 days ago
Score 1+-
I was leaning towards Cromartie myself for the Packers. They definitely need to infuse some youth at CB. Since I don't follow college ball all that closely I don't know if he's the best available.
Permalink | Reply
OneflydudeAll-American
235 days ago
Score 1+-
Good work Afraidofejl;sjkfs... But when you say that the Lions have lost it on the defensive side...they've never had it on the defensive side. So it's kinda hard to say that they've lost it
Permalink | Reply
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
235 days ago
Score 0+-
http://www.b.../images/GMDC TOUCHE.jpg
Permalink
AfraidofedhochuliDraft Pick
235 days ago
Score 0+-
touche.jpg
Permalink
Anonymous Fanatic #2
199 days ago
Score 0+-
Dallas will sign Pacman and Warrick Dunn, so they may draft a receiver or another corner with pick #22, and trade pick #28 for added picks which they will use for depth, including strengthening both lines.
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
199 days ago
Score 0+-
unfortunately, dallas cannot sign either player:

Dunn has already signed with the bucs and Pacman is under contract with the titans...

so...you're wrong...
Permalink
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Afraidofedhochuli | February 20, 2008 | February 2008 | NFL Opinions | NFL Draft Opinions | Mock Draft Opinions

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