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10 MLB Free Agent Steals

18
Vote

by user Joebook

Much publicity has been made over the boom in MLB free agent salaries, and rightfully so. We've already seen three contracts of $100 million or more, and many more of $50 million plus. Several other players have been terribly overpaid, and that article will soon follow this one.

Here are the top-10 best value signings, in alphabetical order.

1. Sean Casey -- 1 year, $4 million -- The Tigers rewarded their midseason 2006 pickup for hitting .432 in the playoffs, including .529 in the World Series. Casey has a good bat and plays above average defense. He'll be a solid first baseman for them in 2007.

2. Jose Cruz Jr. -- 1 year, $650,000 -- Although he's not good enough to play every day, Cruz Jr. is a great signing as a fourth outfielder for the Padres. He's only 32, and his bat has some pop left. He'll also play great defense when called upon.

3. Pedro Feliz -- 1 year, $5.1 million -- He plays every day, and he was three HR and two RBI short of being a 25-100 player. The Giants don't have much power other than their leftfielder, so retaining Feliz was a priority.

4. Marcus Giles -- 1 year, $3.2 million -- This is the steal of the offseason to date. Giles was the starting second baseman for the Braves since 2002, and has been hurt by nagging injuries for the last three seasons. He's a .285 career hitter with some power, and excellent defense. He'll make the Padres glad they took a chance.

5. Jose Guillen -- 1 year, $5.5 million -- Guillen didn't get a chance to play much in 2006, but his previous three seasons saw him average 27 HR and 89 RBI, while hitting just below .300. If he stays healthy and wins a job, this will be a great move by the Mariners.

6. Adam Kennedy -- 3 years, $10 million -- Kennedy can't seem to stay healthy, which is why the Cardinals also signed Aaron Miles, but he's a good defensive player and a .280 career hitter. He'll be a nice complement to former teammate David Eckstein and lead to more RBI opportunities for Albert Pujols.

7. Scott Podsednik -- 1 year, $2.9 million -- Podsednik was the spark plug that ignited the White Sox run to the 2005 World Series. While his numbers slipped in '06, he's still a valuable leadoff hitter, despite his below average defense.

8. Takashi Saito -- 1 year, $1 million -- He was a world beater last season in his MLB debut, posting a 2.07/0.91 ERA/WHIP, but the Japanese superstar will be 37 years old during the 2007 campaign. The last guy with the same numbers (remember Shingo time?) failed miserably, but for $1 million, the Dodgers will take a chance.

9. Scott Williamson -- 1 year, $900,000 -- He's a reliever with a horrible injury history that strikes out more than one batter per inning. If he can stay healthy, he'll provide valuable relief innings for the Orioles.

10. Kerry Wood -- 1 year, $1.75 million -- You know his history, and how dominant he can be when healthy. It is yet to be seen if he'll convert to a reliever, but either way, he'll be effective for the price. His strikeout numbers and a booming pitching market makes this a steal.

Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
642 days ago
Score 1+-
A lot of 1 year deals. Doesn't show much confidence in their long term ability - i.e. the teams are buying out of a need, to rather than to boost their squads, it seems. Or fill some time until a prospect comes through.
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Manny StilesAAA-er
642 days ago
Score 1+-
one year deals because no player will sign a long-term deal at a discount. One year gives the player the chance to have a good season, then sign a Meche-like deal next year. They are taking chances, the teams are not.

I bet at least 2-3 of these guys are on the Bad Free Agent signings list next year...

Cruz at #2? He is pure garbage/damaged (no) goods. I'd rather have a AAA guy out there than him...
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Davis21wylieAll-Star
642 days ago
Score 0+-
Well, a lot of these are risk/reward signings -- guys who would get more years if they could, but they're either injury risks, or old, or both. But they are good gambles for the most part (except for Podsednik, who's just a worthless player, and Feliz, who's not even close to being worth $5 million).
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Manny StilesAAA-er
642 days ago
Score 3+-
my bad, alphabetical order... duh. but Cruz is a piece of #2 either way!
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 0+-
Pods worthless? You wouldn't take a guy who will hit between .270 and .300 and steal 40 bases? For less than $3 million?
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TartanVarsity Captain
642 days ago
Score 1+-
OBP<.350 for a leadoff hitter is pretty worthless. .270 might be the upper end of luck this year too for him.
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PeanMajor Leaguer
642 days ago
Score 1+-
kerry wood got 1.74999 million too much
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PeanMajor Leaguer
642 days ago
Score 5+-
although i bet he leads the league in simulated game appearances
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Manny StilesAAA-er
642 days ago
Score 1+-
let's be fair... after taxes, agent's cut, personal assistants and financial advisors salaries, FICA, Social Security and etc, it's AT BEST, only around $874,999.99 too much!
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Davis21wylieAll-Star
642 days ago
Score 1+-
Zing!
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 0+-
Wood is the career MLB leader in simulated innings, strikeouts and wins.
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ChristofMVP
642 days ago
Score 0+-
I don't know how you can consider an injury prone pitcher a steal, even if it involed a 1 yr deal with a relatively low base salary.
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 1+-
I should have put potential steals...
but I'd sign Wood for less than $2 mil after seeing other contracts.
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TartanVarsity Captain
642 days ago
Score 0+-
Sean Casey will be on the list of free agent WTF-Were-We-Thinking by the All-Star game.
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 1+-
Not for 4 million... if it was a two or three year deal, maybe...
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Anonymous Fanatic #1
642 days ago
Score 0+-
No way that Feliz is a steal. The guy is f-ing terrible. Can hit a fastball if you throw it down the middle and little else. That of course doesn't stop him from trying to hit breaking balls a foot outside and in the dirt. He walks about 5 times a year.
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 0+-
dude... strikeouts aside, teams are paying a hell of a lot more for guys that hit 25 HR and drive in 100 runs. For that reason, he's a good deal this year.
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Anonymous Fanatic #1
642 days ago
Score 1+-
RBIs are a relatively useless stat. You put any below average hitter in the Giant's lineup that is made up of even more below average hitters and he will get a decent number of RBIs. Someone has to drive them in. And even with the 25 home runs he is an out machine with a SLG% in the 420s. Weak arguement.
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 0+-
Fair enough... I'm not saying he's a great player... I just think that for $5 mil, the Giants got a guy that played 160 games last year and nearly went 25-100. There aren't many guys like that for $5 mil. Yes, his BA and SLG left something to be desired, but the deal wasn't bad.
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 1+-
Don't forget he has 212 steals in the last four seasons... that has to be worth something.
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Manny StilesAAA-er
642 days ago
Score 1+-
it's worth 65 caught stealings over the same time. He has only ONCE scored more than 86 runs. That's NOT good numbers from a leadoff guy.
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 0+-
He scored 80 and 86 in the last two years despite missing more than 20 games in each year. He's only played four full years, and scored 80+ in all four. I'm not arguing that he's the next Rickey, but he's a good deal for 2.9 mil.
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Manny StilesAAA-er
642 days ago
Score 0+-
<shrugging/> OK then... <shrugging/> You definitely should have put the word "Potential" in the title... I'm not ripping your effort.
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Manny StilesAAA-er
642 days ago
Score -1+-
Not that it correlates, but Rickey only had ONE season where he got paid more than $3.8 million...
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Davis21wylieAll-Star
642 days ago
Score 1+-
Generally speaking, each steal is worth +0.22 runs; each caught stealing is worth -0.38 runs. Here's Podsednik's career basestealing runs:
Year	Ag	Tm	Lg	SB	CS	BSR
------------------------------------------------------
2001	25	SEA	AL	0	0	0.00
2002	26	SEA	AL	0	0	0.00
2003	27	MIL	NL	43	10	5.66
2004	28	MIL	NL	70	13	10.46
2005	29	CHW	AL	59	23	4.24
2006	30	CHW	AL	40	19	1.58
------------------------------------------------------
Career						21.94
All of that stealing only amounts to 22 extra runs over his career...
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JoebookRed-Shirting
642 days ago
Score 0+-
You are right Manny... it doesn't correlate at all... besides, Pods is only making 2.9, not 3.8... peanuts...
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The BeastAAA-er
642 days ago
Score 2+-
Common Gary Matthews Jr. was a steal! I mean he is stealing money from the Angels.
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Manny StilesAAA-er
642 days ago
Score 1+-
Gil Meche and Barry Zito are nodding their heads in agreement... (what about Shea?)
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KelsdadAll-Star
642 days ago
Score 0+-
And the two worst free agent signings belong to the Red Sox. Congratulations.
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Davis21wylieAll-Star
642 days ago
Score 0+-
Wait, we signed Pierre and Soriano?
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4wheeldriveSoccer Kid
642 days ago
Score 0+-
Yeah, that's the key to any deal..to stay healthy.
Permalink | Reply
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This page was last modified 09:41, 5 January 2007. Content is available under the GFDL.

Categories: Opinions | January 4, 2007 | Opinions by User Joebook | MLB Opinions | Free Agency Opinions | Sean Casey Opinions | Kerry Wood Opinions | Scott Williamson Opinions | Takashi Saito Opinions | Scott Podsednik Opinions | Adam Kennedy Opinions

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